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the claim

Open-source earth system models simulate future climate change trajectories.

the verdict
SUPPORTED
the evidence backs this
Recorded sources
5 sources for · 0 against

Counts group repeated records of the same source within each side. They do not measure evidence strength or source independence.

Is it true that open-source earth system models simulate future climate change trajectories?

Yes. Multiple studies demonstrate that earth system models are widely used and capable tools for simulating future climate change trajectories and their associated environmental impacts.

Verdict: SUPPORTED · 5 sources for, 0 against · Last checked

The analysis

The claim states that open-source earth system models simulate future climate change trajectories. The retrieved literature features numerous peer-reviewed studies (e.g., papers 0, 1, 2, 6, and 8) utilizing global and regional earth system models to simulate and project future climate scenarios, carbon cycles, and hydroclimatic trajectories. There is no evidence refuting the claim. Therefore, the verdict is SUPPORTED.

Evidence for · 5
Large ensemble climate model simulations: introduction, overview, and future prospects for utilising multiple types of large ensemble
2021
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Maher, N., Milinski, S., & Ludwig, R. (2021). Large ensemble climate model simulations: introduction, overview, and future prospects for utilising multiple types of large ensemble. doi.org. https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-401-2021

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More for · 4
Response of global evaporation to major climate modes in historical and future Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 simulations
2020
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Le, T. & Bae, D. (2020). Response of global evaporation to major climate modes in historical and future Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 simulations. doi.org. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-1131-2020

The carbon cycle in the Australian Community Climate and Earth System Simulator (ACCESS-ESM1). 2. Historical simulations
2016
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Ziehn, T., Lenton, A., Law, R. M., Matear, R. J., & Chamberlain, M. A. (2016). The carbon cycle in the Australian Community Climate and Earth  System Simulator (ACCESS-ESM1). 2. Historical simulations. doi.org. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2016-14

Changes in temperature, rainfall and snow cover during the reproductive season of Arctic-breeding birds
2026
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N, S., N, T., H, L., TK, L., BA, N., & R, B. (2026). Changes in temperature, rainfall and snow cover during the reproductive season of Arctic-breeding birds. doi.org. https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-9707122/v1

Net release of CO<sub>2</sub> from thawing permafrost soil carbon predicted to occur earlier in this century.
2026
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Y, X., P, C., D, Z., C, Q., Y, Z., S, P., SPK, B., DS, G., P, F., & G, H. (2026). Net release of CO<sub>2</sub> from thawing permafrost soil carbon predicted to occur earlier in this century.. doi.org. https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.adz8478

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Receipt History
first checked04 Aug 2026
judged → SUPPORTED · 8904 Aug 2026
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