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the claim
Hormone replacement therapy can cause cancer
the verdict
SUPPORTED
the evidence backs this
refutedsupported
the weight of evidence
4 sources for · 4 against

Substantial clinical and epidemiological evidence, including large meta-analyses, demonstrates that hormone replacement therapy can increase the risk of certain cancers, such as breast and ovarian cancers. At the same time, research indicates inverse or neutral associations with other specific cancer types.

Evidence for · 4
2019 · cited by 64
Menopausal hormone replacement therapy was found to be associated with an increased risk of ovarian cancer, particularly serous and endometrioid subtypes.
Evidence against · 4
2019 · cited by 23
Combined results from cohort studies indicated that ever use of hormone replacement therapy is associated with a decreased risk of lung cancer in women.
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The analysis

The claim states that hormone replacement therapy can cause cancer. Multiple large meta-analyses (e.g., papers 1, 2, 3, 6) support this by establishing statistically significant increases in breast and ovarian cancer risk associated with hormone replacement therapy use. Although other studies find inverse associations with gastric, lung, or kidney cancers, the existence of well-documented oncogenic risks (specifically breast and ovarian cancers) fully supports the broad assertion that HRT 'can cause' cancer.

More for · 3
2005 · cited by 63
Meta-analyses of epidemiological studies and randomized controlled trials showed a linear increase in overall breast cancer risk associated with menopausal hormone therapy, especially estrogen-progestin therapy.
2017 · cited by 45
Current use of estrogen-only therapy or estrogen plus progestin therapy is associated with an elevated risk of breast cancer, increasing with duration.
2024 · cited by 9
The pooled risks of ovarian cancer were significantly elevated for hormone replacement therapy users in cohort and case-control studies.
More against · 3
2022 · cited by 21
A systematic review and meta-analysis indicated that the use of hormone replacement therapy was associated with a significant reduction in the risk of gastric cancer.
2020 · cited by 8
A meta-analysis showed that hormone replacement therapy use is inversely associated with kidney cancer risk in a dose-dependent fashion.
2025 · cited by 3
A systematic review and meta-analysis found that hormone replacement therapy had a reduced overall risk for cervical cancer, though specific histological subtypes showed varying associations.
Everything we examined (12)
We also searched for evidence AGAINST this claim, not only for it.
  1. Hormone replacement therapy after prophylactic risk-reducing salpingo-oophorectomy and breast cancer risk in BRCA1 and BRCA2 mutation carriers: A meta-analysis.peer-reviewedno side takennot shown: read and judged not to bear on this claim
  2. Menopausal Hormone Replacement Therapy and the Risk of Ovarian Cancer: A Meta-Analysispeer-reviewedsupports
  3. Menopausal hormone therapy and risk of breast cancer: a meta-analysis of epidemiological studies and randomized controlled trialspeer-reviewedsupports
  4. Change in risk of breast cancer after receiving hormone replacement therapy by considering effect-modifiers: a systematic review and dose-response meta-analysis of prospective studiespeer-reviewedsupports
  5. Hormone replacement therapy and lung cancer risk in women: a meta-analysis of cohort studiespeer-reviewedrefutes
  6. Association of hormone replacement therapy with risk of gastric cancer: a systematic review and meta-analysispeer-reviewedrefutes
  7. The risk of ovarian cancer in hormone replacement therapy users: a systematic review and meta-analysispeer-reviewedsupports
  8. The Relationship Between Hormone Replacement Therapy and Risk of Kidney Cancer in Women: A Meta-Analysispeer-reviewedrefutes
  9. Mismatch Repair Protein hMLH1, but not hMSH2, Enhances Estrogen-Induced Apoptosis of Colon Cancer Cellspeer-reviewedno side takennot shown: read and judged not to bear on this claim
  10. Menopausal hormone therapy for breast cancer patients: what is the current evidence?peer-reviewedno side takennot shown: read and judged not to bear on this claim
  11. The effect of hormone replacement therapy on cervical cancer risk in perimenopausal women: a systematic review and meta-analysis of observational studiespeer-reviewedrefutes
  12. An Incentive to Start Hormone Replacement: The Effect of Postmenopausal Hormone Replacement Therapy on the Risk of Colorectal Cancerpeer-reviewedno side takennot shown: read and judged not to bear on this claim
The paper trail · every fact has a biography
first checked06 Aug 2026
judged → SUPPORTED · 2906 Aug 2026
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