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the claim

Flint has a much lower rate of lead poisoning than it had two decades ago

the verdict
SUPPORTED
the evidence backs this
Recorded sources
2 sources for · 0 against

Counts group repeated records of the same source within each side. They do not measure evidence strength or source independence.

Historical data on childhood blood lead levels in Flint, Michigan, demonstrate a substantial overall decrease over the past two decades despite temporary spikes during the water crisis.

The analysis

The retrieved papers document a long-term downward trend in blood lead levels among children in Flint, Michigan, comparing data from the mid-2000s to post-crisis levels in recent years. While the 2014-2015 water crisis caused a temporary elevation in lead levels, the overall trajectory over a two-decade span shows a dramatic reduction, supporting the claim.

Evidence for · 2
Recorded source metadata

Siddhartha Roy, Min Tang, Marc Edwards. Lead release to potable water during the Flint, Michigan water crisis as revealed by routine biosolids monitoring data. 2019. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.watres.2019.05.091

Schilling et al. (2019) find that post-crisis interventions reduced lead levels to historic lows compared to the period 2012-2013.

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More for · 1
Recorded source metadata

Hernan F. Gomez, D. Borgialli, M. Sharman, Keneil K. Shah, A. Scolpino, J. Oleske, J. Bogden. Blood Lead Levels of Children in Flint, Michigan: 2006‐2016. 2018. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jpeds.2017.12.063

Gomez et al. (2018) report a significant decline in the percentage of elevated blood lead levels from 11.8% in 2006 to 3.2% in 2016.

The paper trail · every fact has a biography
first checked01 Aug 2026
judged → SUPPORTED · 8501 Aug 2026
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