Repeated measures designs in cognitive research permit causal inference
While repeated measures and longitudinal designs are frequently employed to track change and support causal claims in cognitive and psychological research, methodologists emphasize that they do not automatically guarantee valid causal inference and can introduce complex biases.
The retrieved literature shows a sharp methodological debate regarding whether repeated measures or longitudinal designs automatically permit causal inference. Paper [0] and Paper [1] caution that within-subject and longitudinal adjustments can introduce or obscure bias, meaning causal conclusions are far from straightforward without strict assumptions. Conversely, Paper [5] notes that multi-time point designs can offer stronger, potentially causal insights when studying temporal dynamics. Therefore, the balance verdict is CONTESTED because repeated measures are useful tools for examining change over time, but their ability to yield valid causal inference is heavily contested and contingent upon overcoming significant statistical and methodological hurdles.
Wen Wei Loh, Dongning Ren. The Unfulfilled Promise of Longitudinal Designs for Causal Inference. 2023. https://doi.org/10.1525/collabra.89142
Longitudinal and repeated measures designs are explicitly chosen with the intuitive goal of bolstering validity and strengthening causal conclusions over time.
Wen Wei Loh, Dongning Ren. The Unfulfilled Promise of Longitudinal Designs for Causal Inference. 2023. https://doi.org/10.1525/collabra.89142
Adjusting for previous measurements in longitudinal designs can simultaneously strengthen and undermine causal inferences, frequently inducing or reducing bias in complex ways.
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Simon KC, Duggan KA. To advance sleep science, let's study change.. 2026. https://doi.org/10.1093/sleep/zsaf155
Multi-time point longitudinal designs are described as approaches that can illuminate temporal dynamics and offer stronger, potentially causal conclusions regarding health outcomes.
Amanda Kay Montoya. Selecting a Within- or Between-Subject Design for Mediation: Validity, Causality, and Statistical Power. 2020. https://doi.org/10.31234/osf.io/gqryz
Within-subject repeated measures designs carry specific threats to validity, such as carry-forwards and unverified assumptions, making causal inference far from straightforward.
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