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the claim

A specific term describes the discrepancy between reported intention to vote and actual voting behavior.

the verdict
SUPPORTED
the evidence backs this
Recorded sources
4 sources for · 0 against

Counts group repeated records of the same source within each side. They do not measure evidence strength or source independence.

The discrepancy between reported intention to vote and actual voting behavior is widely recognized in political science and is primarily driven by social desirability bias, which leads to the overreporting of voter turnout.

The analysis

The claim states that a specific term describes the discrepancy between reported voting intention and actual voting behavior. The retrieved literature extensively documents social desirability bias and overreporting in the context of voter turnout surveys. Papers 0, 1, 5, and 9 all directly support the notion that discrepancies between reported and actual voting behavior are studied under terms like social desirability bias and overreporting. Therefore, the claim is supported.

Evidence for · 4
Recorded source metadata

Ted Enamorado, K. Imai. Validating Self-Reported Turnout by Linking Public Opinion Surveys with Administrative Records. 2019. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3217884

Paper 0 discusses how self-reported turnout rates overestimate actual turnout due to bias, driven by overreporting.

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More for · 3
Recorded source metadata

Ahmet Durmaz, İnci Dursun, Ebru Tümer Kabadayi. Mitigating the Effects of Social Desirability Bias in Self-Report Surveys. 2020. https://doi.org/10.4018/978-1-7998-1025-4.ch007

Paper 1 identifies social desirability bias (SDB) as a response bias that plagues self-report surveys.

Recorded source metadata

Matthew DeBell, D Sunshine Hillygus, Daron R Shaw, Nicholas A Valentino. Validating the “Genuine Pipeline” to Limit Social Desirability Bias in Survey Estimates of Voter Turnout. 2024. https://doi.org/10.1093/poq/nfae007

Paper 5 details how survey overreporting of voter turnout is driven by social desirability bias.

Recorded source metadata

DeBell M, Krosnick JA, Gera K, Yeager DS, McDonald MP. The Turnout Gap in Surveys: Explanations and Solutions.. 2020. https://doi.org/10.1177/0049124118769085

Paper 9 examines how postelection surveys overestimate voter turnout by significant margins.

The paper trail · every fact has a biography
first checked01 Aug 2026
judged → SUPPORTED · 8601 Aug 2026
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