Human influence is the primary driver of current global warming
The retrieved scientific literature strongly supports the consensus that human influence is the primary driver of current global warming and its associated impacts on physical and ecological systems.
The retrieved papers consistently apply detection and attribution frameworks to demonstrate that observed changes in global temperatures, permafrost, extreme weather events, and hydrological extremes are primarily driven by anthropogenic forcing rather than natural climate variability alone. There are no papers refuting the core claim of human-driven global warming.
Cynthia Rosenzweig, Peter Neofotis. Detection and attribution of anthropogenic climate change impacts. 2013. https://doi.org/10.1002/wcc.209
Paper 0 establishes that anthropogenic climate change is an observed phenomenon affecting physical and biological systems globally through both temperature and precipitation changes.
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L. Gudmundsson, J. Kirchner, Anne Gädeke, J. Noetzli, B. Biskaborn. Attributing observed permafrost warming in the northern hemisphere to anthropogenic climate change. 2022. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac8ec2
Paper 4 uses detection and attribution approaches to demonstrate that observed permafrost warming across the northern hemisphere cannot be explained by natural drivers alone and is driven by anthropogenic climate change.
Estrada F, Perron P, Yamamoto Y. Synergies Between Observed Warming and ENSO Episodes on Extreme Events.. 2025. https://doi.org/10.1111/nyas.70122
Paper 5 shows that current anthropogenic warming has amplified the effects of ENSO episodes, increasing risks from extreme temperature and precipitation events worldwide.
Li J, Zhang Y, Bevacqua E, Jiang S, Yuan X, Zhou S, Qiu J, Wang Z, Zscheischler J, Wang K, Piao S. Warming and vegetation greening drive recent surge in flash droughts.. 2026. https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.aea8452
Paper 7 identifies anthropogenic warming and vegetation greening as main drivers behind the recent global surge in flash droughts.
Tang H, Li S, Jones JM, González-Herrero S, Orr A, Otto FEL, Screen JA, Clem KR, Bozkurt D, Catto JL, Suitters CC, Maclennan ML, Sun Y. Unprecedented 2024 East Antarctic winter heatwave driven by polar vortex weakening and amplified by anthropogenic warming.. 2026. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-026-01392-x
Paper 9 confirms that anthropogenic warming significantly intensified the unprecedented 2024 East Antarctic winter heatwave and increased the likelihood of such extreme events.
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