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the claim

Kelvin waves determine ocean surface temperature variations

the verdict
SUPPORTED
the evidence backs this
Recorded sources
4 sources for · 0 against

Counts group repeated records of the same source within each side. They do not measure evidence strength or source independence.

Oceanic Kelvin waves play a critical role in driving subsurface and surface temperature variations, such as thermocline adjustments and marine heatwaves in the Pacific and Atlantic oceans.

The analysis

The retrieved papers consistently support the claim that Kelvin waves significantly influence ocean temperature variations, notably through thermocline shifts, El Niño-Southern Oscillation dynamics, and associated coastal marine heatwaves.

Evidence for · 4
Recorded source metadata

Toshiaki Shinoda, Paul E. Roundy, George N. Kiladis. Variability of Intraseasonal Kelvin Waves in the Equatorial Pacific Ocean. 2008. https://doi.org/10.1175/2007jpo3815.1

Paper 0 examines how intraseasonal Kelvin waves propagate and alter upper ocean dynamics in the Pacific.

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More for · 3
Recorded source metadata

Kim JH, Kang D, Yang YM, Park JH, Ham YG. Data-driven global ocean model resolving atmospherically forced ocean dynamics.. 2026. https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.aed1225

Paper 2 demonstrates that data-driven ocean models successfully simulate Kelvin wave propagation and related oceanic responses.

Recorded source metadata

Tian F, Zhang RH, Liu C, Guan C. Rainfall sustains multiyear La Niña.. 2026. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-026-68451-y

Paper 6 shows that equatorial Kelvin wave adjustments triggered by salinity anomalies cause rapid surface cooling in the eastern equatorial Pacific.

Recorded source metadata

Liu H, Zhang L, McPhaden MJ, Han W, Li H. Positive Indian Ocean Dipole intensifies marine heatwaves in the tropical southeast Atlantic coastal region.. 2025. https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.adx8525

Paper 7 notes that oceanic Kelvin waves cause thermocline deepening and favor the development of coastal marine heatwaves.

The paper trail · every fact has a biography
first checked02 Aug 2026
judged → SUPPORTED · 8502 Aug 2026
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