Voter turnout is inversely correlated with Republican electoral success
Is it true that voter turnout is inversely correlated with Republican electoral success?
No. Extensive empirical research contradicts the claim that voter turnout systematically favors one party over the other, demonstrating that turnout and Republican electoral success are not inversely correlated.
Verdict: REFUTED · 0 sources for, 2 against · Last checked
The retrieved literature includes specific studies examining the relationship between voter turnout and partisan electoral outcomes. Paper [0] establishes that policies increasing turnout (such as universal vote-by-mail) do not alter vote shares for either political party. Paper [1] specifically examines over fifty years of election data and concludes that there is no consistent partisan effect associated with turnout, refuting the idea that turnout correlates inversely or directly with the success of either Republicans or Democrats. No provided papers support the claim.
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Thompson, D. M., Wu, J. A., Yoder, J., & Hall, A. B. (2020). Universal vote-by-mail has no impact on partisan turnout or vote share. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 117(25), 14052-14056. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2007249117
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Shaw, D. & Petrocik, J. (2019). The Turnout Myth. doi.org. https://doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780190089450.001.0001
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