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the claim

Unadjusted NASA climate data shows no long-term global warming

the verdict
REFUTED
the evidence says no
Recorded sources
0 sources for · 4 against

Counts group repeated records of the same source within each side. They do not measure evidence strength or source independence.

Is it true that Unadjusted NASA climate data shows no long-term global warming?

No. Extensive empirical evidence from multiple independent global temperature and climate datasets directly refutes the claim that unadjusted climate data shows no long-term global warming.

Verdict: REFUTED · 0 sources for, 4 against · Last checked

The analysis

The claim is specific and empirical, allowing for direct verification through climate science literature. None of the provided papers support the assertion that unadjusted climate data shows no warming; instead, papers such as [1], [2], [3], and [9] utilize instrumental and historical datasets to establish clear, robust, long-term global warming trends. Therefore, the evidence strongly refutes the claim.

Evidence against · 4
2024
Documents record-breaking surface temperatures and continuous climate heating.
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Romanello, M., Walawender, M., Hsu, S., Moskeland, A., Palmeiro-Silva, Y. K., Scamman, D., Ali, Z., Ameli, N., Angelova, D., Ayeb-Karlsson, S., Basart, S., Beagley, J., Beggs, P., Blanco-Villafuerte, L., Cai, W., Callaghan, M. W., Campbell-Lendrum, D., Chambers, J., Chicmana-Zapata, V., Chu, L., Cross, T. J., Daalen, K. R. V., Dalin, C., Dasandi, N., Dasgupta, S., Davies, M., Dubrow, R., Eckelman, M., Ford, J. D., Freyberg, C., Gasparyan, O., Gordon-Strachan, G., Grubb, M., Gunther, S., Hamilton, I., Hang, Y., Hänninen, R., Hartinger, S. M., He, K., Heidecke, J., Hess, J. J., Jamart, L., Jankin, S., Jatkar, H., Jay, O., Kelman, I., Kennard, H., Kiesewetter, G., Kinney, P., Kniveton, D., Kouznetsov, R., Lampard, P., Lee, J. K. W., Lemke, B., Li, B., Liu, Y., Liu, Z., Llabrés-Brustenga, A., Lott, M., Lowe, R., Martínez-Urtaza, J., Maslin, M., McAllister, L., McMichael, C., Mi, Z., Milner, J., Minor, K., Minx, J. C., Mohajeri, N., Momen, N., Moradi-Lakeh, M., Morrisey, K., Munzert, S., Murray, K. A., Obradovich, N., O'Hare, M. B., Oliveira, C., Oreszczyn, T., Otto, M., Owfi, F., Pearman, O. L., Pega, F., Perishing, A. J., Pinho-Gomes, A., Ponmattam, J., Rabbaniha, M., Rickman, J., Robinson, E. J. Z., Rocklöv, J., Rojas-Rueda, D., Salas, R. N., Semenza, J., Sherman, J. D., Shumake-Guillemot, J., Singh, P., Sjödin, H., Slater, J., Sofiev, M., Sorensen, C., Springmann, M., Stalhandske, Z., Stowell, J. D., Tabatabaei, M., Taylor, J., Tong, D., Tonne, C., Treskova, M., Triñanes, J., Uppstu, A., Wagner, F., Warnecke, L., Whitcombe, H., Xian, P., Zavaleta-Cortijo, C., Zhang, C., Zhang, R., Zhang, S., Zhang, Y., Zhu, Q., Gong, P., Montgomery, H., & Costello, A. (2024). The 2024 report of the Lancet Countdown on health and climate change: facing record-breaking threats from delayed action. doi.org. https://doi.org/10.1016/s0140-6736(24)01822-1

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More against · 3
2021
Tracks long-term global ocean surface warming trends over the last 120 years.
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García-Soto, C., Cheng, L., Caesar, L., Schmidtko, S., Jewett, E., Cheripka, A., Rigor, I., Caballero, A., Chiba, S., Báez, J., Zieliński, T., & Abraham, J. (2021). An Overview of Ocean Climate Change Indicators: Sea Surface Temperature, Ocean Heat Content, Ocean pH, Dissolved Oxygen Concentration, Arctic Sea Ice Extent, Thickness and Volume, Sea Level and Strength of the AMOC (Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation). doi.org. https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2021.642372

2025
Provides updated estimates showing consistent, long-term global surface temperature increases driven by human activities.
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Forster, P., Smith, C. J., Walsh, T., Lamb, W. F., Lamboll, R. D., Cassou, C., Hauser, M., Hausfather, Z., Lee, J., Palmer, M. D., Schuckmann, K. v., Slangen, A., Szopa, S., Trewin, B., Yun, J., Gillett, N., Jenkins, S., Matthews, H., Raghavan, K., Ribes, A., Rogelj, J., Rosen, D., Zhang, X., Allen, M., Reis, L. A., Andrew, R., Betts, R. A., Borger, A., Broersma, J. A., Burgess, S., Cheng, L., Friedlingstein, P., Domingues, C., Gambarini, M., Gasser, T., Gütschow, J., Ishii, M., Kadow, C., Kennedy, J. J., Killick, R., Krummel, P., Liné, A., Monselesan, D. P., Morice, C. P., Mühle, J., Naik, V., Peters, G. P., Pirani, A., Pongratz, J., Minx, J., Rigby, M., Rohde, R., Savita, A., Seneviratne, S., Thorne, P., Wells, C. D., Western, L., Werf, G. R. v. d., Wijffels, S. E., Masson-Delmotte, V., & Zhai, P. (2025). Indicators of Global Climate Change 2024: annual update of key indicators of the state of the climate system and human influence. doi.org. https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-17-2641-2025

2024
Employs advanced homogenization techniques that confirm significant historical surface warming since 1850.
Get citation
D, C., G, G., P, H., & EC, K. (2024). A Dynamically Consistent ENsemble of Temperature at the Earth surface since 1850 from the DCENT dataset.. doi.org. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41597-024-03742-x

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What does the evidence say?

The claim is specific and empirical, allowing for direct verification through climate science literature. None of the provided papers support the assertion that unadjusted climate data shows no warming; instead, papers such as [1], [2], [3], and [9] utilize instrumental and historical datasets to establish clear, robust, long-term global warming trends. Therefore, the evidence strongly refutes the claim.

Receipt History
first checked05 Aug 2026
judged → REFUTED · 1705 Aug 2026
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