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the claim

The Credit-to-GDP gap measures the difference between the credit-to-GDP ratio and its long-term trend.

the verdict
SUPPORTED
the evidence backs this
Recorded sources
2 sources for · 0 against

Counts group repeated records of the same source within each side. They do not measure evidence strength or source independence.

Is it true that the Credit-to-GDP gap measures the difference between the credit-to-GDP ratio and its long-term trend?

Yes. The credit-to-gdp gap is defined and calculated as the deviation or difference between the credit-to-GDP ratio and its estimated long-term trend.

Verdict: SUPPORTED · 2 sources for, 0 against · Last checked

The analysis

The retrieved literature consistently defines the credit-to-GDP gap (often referred to as the Basel gap) as the deviation or difference between the credit-to-GDP ratio and its long-term trend.

Evidence for · 2
On the Long-Run Calibration of the Credit-to-Gdp Gap as a Banking Crisis Predictor
2019
The paper discusses the trend deviation of the Credit-to-GDP ratio (Basel gap) as calculated using filters to determine the difference between the ratio and its long-term trend.
Get citation
Kauko, K. & Tölö, E. (2019). On the Long-Run Calibration of the Credit-to-Gdp Gap as a Banking Crisis Predictor. doi.org. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3341887

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More for · 1
Credit to GDP gap as an indicator for upcoming financial crisis
2017
The paper notes that the gap between the credit-to-GDP ratio and its long-run trend is used as an indicator for economic frameworks like the countercyclical capital buffer.
Get citation
Bakhuashvili, S. (2017). Credit to GDP gap as an indicator for upcoming financial crisis. doi.org. https://doi.org/10.20472/IAC.2017.032.007

What does the evidence say?

The retrieved literature consistently defines the credit-to-GDP gap (often referred to as the Basel gap) as the deviation or difference between the credit-to-GDP ratio and its long-term trend.

Receipt History
first checked06 Aug 2026
judged → SUPPORTED · 7106 Aug 2026
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