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the claim
Most locations have a Covid-19 infection fatality rate under 0.20%
the verdict
REFUTED
the evidence says no
refutedsupported
the weight of evidence
0 sources for · 5 against

Available scientific evidence and meta-analyses consistently refute the claim that most locations experienced a COVID-19 infection fatality rate under 0.20%, with consolidated global and regional estimates generally ranging between 0.5% and over 2.0%.

Evidence against · 5
A systematic review and meta-analysis of published research data on COVID-19 infection-fatality rates
2020 · cited by 84
A meta-analysis of global COVID-19 infection fatality rates found a pooled point estimate of 0.68%, which is well above 0.20%.
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The analysis

Judged against the evidence record for claims of this kind.

More against · 4
Case fatality rate in COVID-19: a systematic review and meta-analysis
2020 · cited by 6
A systematic review and meta-analysis of COVID-19 case fatality rates found pooled estimates starting at 0.8% and reaching 7.4% after corrections.
Estimation of novel coronavirus (covid-19) reproduction number and case fatality rate: a systematic review and meta-analysis
2020 · cited by 4
A systematic review estimating COVID-19 case fatality rates globally found a pooled CFR of 2.67%.
Estimation of the SARS-CoV-2 infection fatality rate in Germany
2021 · cited by 4
An analysis combining data for Germany estimated an infection fatality rate of 0.83%, exceeding the 0.20% threshold.
Estimating SARS-CoV-2 infection fatality rate using data from one of the most affected areas worldwide
2021 · cited by 1
An analysis evaluating heavily affected areas calculated SARS-CoV-2 infection fatality rates ranging from 0.55% to 2.2%.
Everything we examined (5)
  1. A systematic review and meta-analysis of published research data on COVID-19 infection-fatality ratespeer-reviewedrefutes
  2. Case fatality rate in COVID-19: a systematic review and meta-analysispeer-reviewedrefutes
  3. Estimation of novel coronavirus (covid-19) reproduction number and case fatality rate: a systematic review and meta-analysispeer-reviewedrefutes
  4. Estimation of the SARS-CoV-2 infection fatality rate in Germanypeer-reviewedrefutes
  5. Estimating SARS-CoV-2 infection fatality rate using data from one of the most affected areas worldwidepeer-reviewedrefutes
The paper trail · every fact has a biography
first checked05 Aug 2026
judged → REFUTED · 1205 Aug 2026
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