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the claim

Most locations have a Covid-19 infection fatality rate under 0.20%

the verdict
REFUTED
the evidence says no
Recorded sources
0 sources for · 5 against

Counts group repeated records of the same source within each side. They do not measure evidence strength or source independence.

Is it true that most locations have a Covid-19 infection fatality rate under 0.20%?

No. Available scientific evidence and meta-analyses consistently refute the claim that most locations experienced a COVID-19 infection fatality rate under 0.20%, with consolidated global and regional estimates generally ranging between 0.5% and over 2.0%.

Verdict: REFUTED · 0 sources for, 5 against · Last checked

The analysis

Judged against the evidence record for claims of this kind.

Evidence against · 5
2020
A meta-analysis of global COVID-19 infection fatality rates found a pooled point estimate of 0.68%, which is well above 0.20%.
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Meyerowitz-Katz, G. & Merone, L. (2020). A systematic review and meta-analysis of published research data on COVID-19 infection-fatality rates. peer-reviewed literature. https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.03.20089854

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More against · 4
2020
A systematic review and meta-analysis of COVID-19 case fatality rates found pooled estimates starting at 0.8% and reaching 7.4% after corrections.
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Kahathuduwa, C., Dhanasekara, C., & Chin, S. (2020). Case fatality rate in COVID-19: a systematic review and meta-analysis. peer-reviewed literature. https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.01.20050476

2020
A systematic review estimating COVID-19 case fatality rates globally found a pooled CFR of 2.67%.
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Ahammed, T., Anjum, A., Rahman, M. M., Haider, N., Kock, R., & Uddin, M. J. (2020). Estimation of novel coronavirus (covid-19) reproduction number and case fatality rate: a systematic review and meta-analysis. peer-reviewed literature. https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.09.30.20204644

2021
An analysis combining data for Germany estimated an infection fatality rate of 0.83%, exceeding the 0.20% threshold.
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Dimpfl, T., Sönksen, J., Bechmann, I., & Grammig, J. (2021). Estimation of the SARS-CoV-2 infection fatality rate in Germany. peer-reviewed literature. https://doi.org/10.1101/2021.01.26.21250507

2021
An analysis evaluating heavily affected areas calculated SARS-CoV-2 infection fatality rates ranging from 0.55% to 2.2%.
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Estimating SARS-CoV-2 infection fatality rate using data from one of the most affected areas worldwide. (2021). peer-reviewed literature. https://doi.org/10.22514/sv.2021.149

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Judged against the evidence record for claims of this kind.

Receipt History
first checked05 Aug 2026
judged → REFUTED · 1205 Aug 2026
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