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the claim

Leaving unextractable fossil fuels in the ground prevents a significant portion of projected global warming.

the verdict
SUPPORTED
the evidence backs this
Recorded sources
5 sources for · 0 against

Counts group repeated records of the same source within each side. They do not measure evidence strength or source independence.

Is it true that leaving unextractable fossil fuels in the ground prevents a significant portion of projected global warming?

Yes. Leaving unextractable fossil fuels in the ground is widely recognized in climate literature as a fundamental prerequisite for meeting international climate targets and preventing catastrophic global warming.

Verdict: SUPPORTED · 5 sources for, 0 against · Last checked

The analysis

The retrieved literature consistently supports the premise that keeping a significant portion of fossil fuel reserves unburned or unextracted is necessary to achieve global climate stabilization targets under international agreements like the Paris Agreement. Papers [0], [1], [2], [5], and [11] explicitly quantify or affirm that major shares of fossil fuel resources must remain in the ground to avoid severe global warming, satisfying the claim directly.

Evidence for · 5
Stranded assets and stranded resources: Implications for climate change mitigation and global sustainable development
2019
The paper notes that meeting the Paris Agreement's 2 degrees Celsius objective requires leaving more than 80% of proven fossil fuel reserves in the ground as stranded resources.
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Bos, K. & Gupta, J. (2019). Stranded assets and stranded resources: Implications for climate change mitigation and global sustainable development. doi.org. https://doi.org/10.1016/J.ERSS.2019.05.025

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More for · 4
Fossil fuels, stranded assets and COVID-19: Imagining an inclusive & transformative recovery
2021
It establishes that phasing out fossil fuels is implicitly required by the Paris Agreement to curb greenhouse gas emissions.
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Rempel, A. & Gupta, J. (2021). Fossil fuels, stranded assets and COVID-19: Imagining an inclusive & transformative recovery. doi.org. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2021.105608

Fossil fuels, stranded assets, and the energy transition in the Global South: A systematic literature review
2023
It supports the principle that complying with the Paris Agreement necessitates leaving fossil fuels underground.
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Heras, A. & Gupta, J. (2023). Fossil fuels, stranded assets, and the energy transition in the Global South: A systematic literature review. doi.org. https://doi.org/10.1002/wcc.866

The atlas of unburnable oil for supply-side climate policies.
2024
It highlights that keeping global warming under 1.5 degrees Celsius requires large majorities of existing fossil fuel resources to remain unburned.
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L, P., M, A., G, M., G, R., C, M., & M, O. (2024). The atlas of unburnable oil for supply-side climate policies.. doi.org. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-46340-6

Unburnable carbon in the rapidly warming Arctic: Mapping spatial relationships among oil and gas development, ecologically sensitive areas and Indigenous Peoples' lands.
2026
It confirms that a substantial majority of oil and gas reserves must remain underground to meet international climate targets.
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D, C., D, V., F, A., G, L., A, S., SE, P., & M, D. M. (2026). Unburnable carbon in the rapidly warming Arctic: Mapping spatial relationships among oil and gas development, ecologically sensitive areas and Indigenous Peoples' lands.. doi.org. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0345775

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first checked05 Aug 2026
judged → SUPPORTED · 8905 Aug 2026
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