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the claim
Individual investors can consistently beat the stock market.
the verdict
CONTESTED PARTIAL
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2 sources for · 2 against
Is it true that individual investors can consistently beat the stock market?
Partly. One study reports that a subset of skilled individual investors shows persistent outperformance and earns abnormal returns, while a forum post citing Dalbar data and a Chinese-market study find that investors and follower strategies generally fail to consistently beat the market. None of the placed items settles the general claim about individual investors as a whole.
Verdict: CONTESTED PARTIAL · 2 sources for, 2 against · Last checked
Evidence for · 2
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Coval, J. D., Hirshleifer, D., & Shumway, T. (2018). Presentation Slides for 'Can Individual Investors Beat the Market?'. doi.org. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3217430
Evidence against · 2
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Why not just invest in the market?. (n.d.). money.stackexchange.com. https://money.stackexchange.com/questions/70546
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More for · 1
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1968-, T. M. (2009). How Harvard and Yale beat the market : what individual investors can learn from university endowments to help them prosper in an uncertain market. archive.org. https://archive.org/details/howharvardyalebe0000tutt
More against · 1
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Liang, P. (2005). Can the Success Be Followed? Constructing and Testing the Individual Investors Strategies in China Stock Market. doi.org. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.638004
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held for human review17 Oct 2026
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