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the claim

Raising interest rates causes higher inflation.

the verdict
CONTESTED PARTIAL
Recorded sources
2 sources for · 5 against

Counts group repeated records of the same source within each side. They do not measure evidence strength or source independence.

Is it true that raising interest rates causes higher inflation?

Partly. The retrieved items do not settle the general claim. One economics Q&A describes a short-term channel by which higher interest rates can raise measured inflation, while several papers report the conventional direction (inflation driving nominal rates, or rate hikes curbing inflation) and one empirical study rejects the Neo-Fisherian idea that raising rates raises trend inflation.

Verdict: CONTESTED PARTIAL · 2 sources for, 5 against · Last checked

The private library was unavailable for some searches in this check. Missing library results are not evidence against the claim.

Evidence for · 2
Monetary Policy - How can increasing interest rates cause higher inflation in the short term?
2016
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Monetary Policy - How can increasing interest rates cause higher inflation in the short term?. (2016). economics.stackexchange.com. https://economics.stackexchange.com/questions/11422/monetary-policy-how-can-increasing-interest-rates-cause-higher-inflation-in-th

Evidence against · 5
Inflation
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Inflation. (n.d.). en.wikipedia.org. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inflation

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More for · 1
Raise Rates to Raise Inflation? Neo-Fisherianism in the New Keynesian Model
2016
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Garín, J., Lester, R., & Sims, E. (2016). Raise Rates to Raise Inflation? Neo-Fisherianism in the New Keynesian Model. nber.org. https://www.nber.org/papers/w22177

More against · 4
Interest rates, inflation, and exchange rates in fragile EMEs: A fresh look at the long-run interrelationships
2019
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Interest rates, inflation, and exchange rates in fragile EMEs: A fresh look at the long-run interrelationships. (2019). shs.hal.science. https://shs.hal.science/halshs-02095652v2

The Neo-Fisherian hypothesis: empirical implications and evidence?
2018
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The Neo-Fisherian hypothesis: empirical implications and evidence?. (2018). doi.org. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00181-018-1591-8

Significant Policies Have the Federal Reserve Enacted to Control Inflation from the Pandemic
2024
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Significant Policies Have the Federal Reserve Enacted to Control Inflation from the Pandemic. (2024). doi.org. https://doi.org/10.54097/5z9d3n24

Inflationary expectations, money growth, and the vanishing liquidity effect of money on interest : a further investigation
1985
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Inflationary expectations, money growth, and the vanishing liquidity effect of money on interest : a further investigation. (1985). fraser.stlouisfed.org. https://fraser.stlouisfed.org/files/docs/publications/frbrichreview/rev_frbrich198503.pdf

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