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Changes in house prices affect household consumer spending through a housing wealth effect.

the verdict
CONTESTED PARTIAL
Recorded sources
6 sources for · 2 against

Counts group repeated records of the same source within each side. They do not measure evidence strength or source independence.

Is it true that changes in house prices affect household consumer spending through a housing wealth effect?

Partly. Several studies and surveys partially support a housing wealth effect on consumption, including a survey finding a strong wealth-spending link and UK and European evidence of house-price effects on spending. However, other micro-level work finds the pure wealth effect plays at best a minor role, with spending responding mainly through borrowing-collateral channels, so the evidence is mixed and only partial.

Verdict: CONTESTED PARTIAL · 6 sources for, 2 against · Last checked

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Evidence for · 6
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Wealth effect. (n.d.). en.wikipedia.org. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wealth_effect

Evidence against · 2
2021
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Suari-Andreu, E. (2021). Housing and household consumption: An investigation of the wealth and collateral effects. doi.org. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhe.2021.101786

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More for · 5
2008
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Paiella, M. (2008). The Stock Market, Housing and Consumer Spending: A Survey of the Evidence on Wealth Effects. doi.org. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1162222

2005
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How do house prices affect consumption? Evidence from micro data. (2005). doi.org. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jmoneco.2005.10.016

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The Effect of Housing Wealth Losses on Spending in the Great Recession - PMC Lock. (n.d.). pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov. https://doi.org/10.1111/ecin.12753

2023
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Feeling Rich, Feeling Poor: Housing Wealth Effects and Consumption in Europe. (2023). elibrary.imf.org. https://doi.org/10.5089/9798400261367.001

2013
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Monetary Policy Transmission, House Prices and Consumption. (2013). doi.org. https://doi.org/10.1057/9781137334152_4

More against · 1
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House Price Fluctuations: The Role of Housing Wealth as Borrowing Collateral. (n.d.). cir.nii.ac.jp. https://doi.org/10.1162/rest_a_00323

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