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the claim
Wildfires can ignite naturally from lightning strikes without any human involvement.
the verdict
INSUFFICIENT LEANING
Recorded sources
6 sources for · 0 against
Is it true that wildfires can ignite naturally from lightning strikes without any human involvement?
Unclear. Several peer-reviewed sources state that lightning ignites wildfires, with one study documenting over 17,000 naturally ignited wildfires in Arizona and New Mexico and another attributing 45% of Alberta wildfires to lightning. All of these cover only specific regions or mention ignition in passing, so they support the claim in part rather than fully.
Verdict: PARTIAL LEAN · 6 sources for, 0 against · Last checked
Evidence for · 6
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Precipitation associated with lightning-ignited wildfires in Arizona and New Mexico. (2007). doi.org. https://doi.org/10.1071/wf06075
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More for · 5
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Umetani, H. (2024). Wildfires, Pollution, and Pregnancy Outcomes: Evidence from Lightning Strikes. doi.org. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4833440
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Ensemble lightning prediction models for the province of Alberta, Canada. (n.d.). cir.nii.ac.jp. https://doi.org/10.1071/wf15111
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Lightning Prediction for Australia Using Multivariate Analyses of Large-Scale Atmospheric Variables. (n.d.). cir.nii.ac.jp. https://doi.org/10.1175/jamc-d-17-0214.1
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Variation of lightning-ignited wildfire patterns under climate change. (n.d.). cir.nii.ac.jp. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-36500-5
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Historical (1960–2014) lightning and LNO x trends and their controlling factors in a chemistry–climate model. (n.d.). cir.nii.ac.jp. https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-301
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