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the claim

Government bonds are risk-free investments.

the verdict
REFUTED
the evidence says no
Recorded sources
0 sources for · 8 against

Counts group repeated records of the same source within each side. They do not measure evidence strength or source independence.

Is it true that government bonds are risk-free investments?

No. Multiple reference and academic sources state that government bonds carry default, interest rate, currency and inflation risk, and that they are only 'risk-free' under restrictive assumptions such as holding to maturity or negligible default probability. The claim that government bonds are risk-free investments is therefore not supported.

Verdict: REFUTED · 0 sources for, 8 against · Last checked

The private library was unavailable for some searches in this check. Missing library results are not evidence against the claim.

Evidence against · 8
Risk-free rate
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Risk-free rate. (n.d.). en.wikipedia.org. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Risk-free_rate

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More against · 7
Manufacturing Risk-free Government Debt
2020
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Jiang, Z., Lustig, H., Nieuwerburgh, S. V., & Xiaolan, M. Z. (2020). Manufacturing Risk-free Government Debt. nber.org. https://www.nber.org/papers/w27786

Outside Liquidity, Rollover Risk, and Government Bonds
2014
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Luck, S. & Schempp, P. (2014). Outside Liquidity, Rollover Risk, and Government Bonds. doi.org. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2500797

Asset Allocation, Risk Free Part with Negative Yielding Bonds
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Asset Allocation, Risk Free Part with Negative Yielding Bonds. (n.d.). money.stackexchange.com. https://money.stackexchange.com/questions/94386

Should I always hold short term bonds till maturity?
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Should I always hold short term bonds till maturity?. (n.d.). money.stackexchange.com. https://money.stackexchange.com/questions/24551

Wishful Thinking About the Risk of Stocks in the Long Run: Consequences for Defined Contribution and Defined Benefit Retirement Plans
2022
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Wishful Thinking About the Risk of Stocks in the Long Run: Consequences for Defined Contribution and Defined Benefit Retirement Plans. (2022). ssrn.com. https://ssrn.com/abstract=4011315

Are there any non-decreasing securities on the stock market?
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Are there any non-decreasing securities on the stock market?. (n.d.). money.stackexchange.com. https://money.stackexchange.com/questions/106417

Banking Regulation and Sovereign Default Risk: How Regulation Undermines Rules
2024
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Banking Regulation and Sovereign Default Risk: How Regulation Undermines Rules. (2024). hec.hal.science. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4889238

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