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the claim

The Yellowstone supervolcano is overdue for an eruption.

the verdict
REFUTED
the evidence says no
Recorded sources
2 sources for · 4 against

Counts group repeated records of the same source within each side. They do not measure evidence strength or source independence.

Is it true that the Yellowstone supervolcano is overdue for an eruption?

No. Multiple authoritative sources, including the Yellowstone Volcano Observatory, USGS, and a Snopes fact-check, state that Yellowstone is not overdue for a super eruption and that no eruption is imminent; the USGS estimates roughly a 1-in-730,000 yearly chance. Only a fiction blurb and a fragmentary encyclopedia snippet repeat the 'overdue' idea, without substantive support.

Verdict: REFUTED · 2 sources for, 4 against · Last checked

Evidence for · 2
Encyclopedia of Disasters
2008
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Gunn, A. M. (2008). Encyclopedia of Disasters. books.google.com. http://books.google.com/books?id=mes5AQAAIAAJ&dq=The+Yellowstone+supervolcano+is+overdue+for+an+eruption.&hl=&as_pt=BOOKS&source=gbs_api

Evidence against · 4
Yellowstone Caldera
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Yellowstone Caldera. (n.d.). en.wikipedia.org. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Yellowstone_Caldera

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More for · 1
Ashfall
2011
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Ashfall. (2011). gbv.eblib.com. http://gbv.eblib.com/patron/FullRecord.aspx?p=787836

More against · 3
Yellowstone Animals Fleeing Park — Supervolcano Eruption ...
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Yellowstone Animals Fleeing Park — Supervolcano Eruption.... (n.d.). snopes.com. https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/yellowstone-animals-fleeing-park/

Is an imminent volcanic eruption the most plausible explanation for the Yellowstone animal exodus?
2014
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Is an imminent volcanic eruption the most plausible explanation for the Yellowstone animal exodus?. (2014). skeptics.stackexchange.com. https://skeptics.stackexchange.com/questions/20190/is-an-imminent-volcanic-eruption-the-most-plausible-explanation-for-the-yellowst

Is the Yellowstone volcano due to explode?
2017
Get citation
Is the Yellowstone volcano due to explode?. (2017). skeptics.stackexchange.com. https://skeptics.stackexchange.com/questions/39271/is-the-yellowstone-volcano-due-to-explode

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