trustmebro.to/r/…
✓ checked
trust me, bro:
here is the receipt.
the claim

Incarceration reduces crime rates.

the verdict
CONTESTED PARTIAL
Recorded sources
3 sources for · 5 against

Counts group repeated records of the same source within each side. They do not measure evidence strength or source independence.

Is it true that incarceration reduces crime rates?

Partly. Peer-reviewed studies on drug offenders, petty offenders, and US state panels find that incarceration's crime-reducing effect is offset or reversed by criminogenic reentry effects, while a few reference fragments presuppose that incarceration reduces crime without presenting data. The evidence covers only specific populations and policies, not the general claim.

Verdict: CONTESTED PARTIAL · 3 sources for, 5 against · Last checked

Evidence for · 3
The great American crime decline
2007
Get citation
E, Z. F. (2007). The great American crime decline. archive.org. https://archive.org/details/greatamericancri0000zimr

Evidence against · 5
The War On Drugs And Crime Rates
2012
Get citation
The War On Drugs And Crime Rates. (2012). doi.org. https://doi.org/10.19030/jber.v10i5.6980

See more details
More for · 2
The new social contract : America's journey from welfare state to police state
1995
Get citation
Dillon, D. J. (1995). The new social contract : America's journey from welfare state to police state. archive.org. https://archive.org/details/newsocialcontrac0000dave

Social problems : readings with four questions
2002
Get citation
Social problems : readings with four questions. (2002). archive.org. https://archive.org/details/socialproblemsre0000unse

More against · 4
Modelling the dark side of prison dynamics: Quantifying the criminogenic effects of petty crime offenders' incarceration.
2026
Get citation
Nyabadza, F. (2026). Modelling the dark side of prison dynamics: Quantifying the criminogenic effects of petty crime offenders' incarceration.. doi.org. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0356366

For incapacitation, there is no time like the present: The lagged effects of prisoner reentry on property and violent crime rates
2010
Get citation
For incapacitation, there is no time like the present: The lagged effects of prisoner reentry on property and violent crime rates. (2010). doi.org. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ssresearch.2010.08.001

Impact of drug legislation on crime reduction: a systematic literature review.
2026
Get citation
MC, T., G, G., EJ, A., WJ, G., SL, T., & VD, J. (2026). Impact of drug legislation on crime reduction: a systematic literature review.. doi.org. https://doi.org/10.3389/fpubh.2026.1806036

Did the 1994 US crime bill "bring down crime"?
Get citation
Did the 1994 US crime bill "bring down crime"?. (n.d.). skeptics.stackexchange.com. https://skeptics.stackexchange.com/questions/44599

Receipt History
held for human review17 Oct 2026
Anyone with this link can read the claim and its public receipt, including any personal information in that text. Open permanent receipt.
Check your own claim
Challenge the receipt
Requests are recorded for review. This does not start an automatic check or guarantee a response time.

Citation formatting by citeproc-js (Frank Bennett) and the Citation Style Language project. Source and licenses.

This receipt is an automated verdict against our published method · not an opinion about any author or publication.
Terms · Privacy · How verdicts work