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the claim

Earthquakes and other geological disasters are predictable.

the verdict
INSUFFICIENT LEANING
Recorded sources
1 source for · 2 against

Counts group repeated records of the same source within each side. They do not measure evidence strength or source independence.

Is it true that earthquakes and other geological disasters are predictable?

Unclear. One review notes decades of unsuccessful search for earthquake precursor signals, and a landslide-zonation study contrasts landslides' predictable nature with earthquakes. Neither settles whether earthquakes and other geological disasters are broadly predictable.

Verdict: PARTIAL LEAN · 1 source for, 2 against · Last checked

Evidence for · 1
Wikibooks: Earthquakes
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Wikibooks: Earthquakes. (n.d.). en.wikibooks.org. https://en.wikibooks.org/wiki/Earthquakes

Evidence against · 2
Are Earthquakes Predictable?
2016
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Wheeling, K. (2016). Are Earthquakes Predictable?. doi.org. https://doi.org/10.1029/2016eo046955

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More against · 1
LNRF-Based Landslide Zonation: Enhancing Risk Assessment in Badakhshan, Afghanistan
2025
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LNRF-Based Landslide Zonation: Enhancing Risk Assessment in Badakhshan, Afghanistan. (2025). doi.org. https://doi.org/10.63333/eem.v1n14

Receipt History
held for human review17 Oct 2026
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