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Total fertility rates in most high-income countries have been below the replacement level of about 2.1 births per woman for several decades.

the verdict
INSUFFICIENT LEANING
Recorded sources
4 sources for · 0 against

Counts group repeated records of the same source within each side. They do not measure evidence strength or source independence.

Is it true that total fertility rates in most high-income countries have been below the replacement level of about 2.1 births per woman for several decades?

Unclear. Several peer-reviewed sources indicate that total fertility rates have been declining for decades and are below the 2.1 replacement level in many countries, including most developed countries and parts of Europe and Asia. However, none of the retrieved items directly establishes that most high-income countries have had sub-replacement fertility for several decades.

Verdict: PARTIAL LEAN · 4 sources for, 0 against · Last checked

The private library was unavailable for some searches in this check. Missing library results are not evidence against the claim.

Evidence for · 4
O-105 Contribution of ART to fertility rates and family size
2024
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O-105 Contribution of ART to fertility rates and family size. (2024). doi.org. https://doi.org/10.1093/humrep/deae108.116

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More for · 3
The COVID-19 Pandemic, the Great Lockdown and Fertility Trends
2020
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The COVID-19 Pandemic, the Great Lockdown and Fertility Trends. (2020). doi.org. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3707131

The COVID-19 Pandemic and Fertility Trends
2020
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The COVID-19 Pandemic and Fertility Trends. (2020). doi.org. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3707431

Potential increase of the U.S. total fertility rate resulting from restorative treatment of unresolved subfertility: a simulation study.
2026
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JB, S., E, H., S, N., & KR, S. (2026). Potential increase of the U.S. total fertility rate resulting from restorative treatment of unresolved subfertility: a simulation study.. doi.org. https://doi.org/10.3389/frph.2026.1856175

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