trustmebro.to/r/…
✓ checked
trust me, bro:
here is the receipt.
the claim

Elections increase stock market volatility.

the verdict
INSUFFICIENT LEANING
Recorded sources
6 sources for · 0 against

Counts group repeated records of the same source within each side. They do not measure evidence strength or source independence.

Is it true that elections increase stock market volatility?

Unclear. Several peer-reviewed studies report that stock market volatility rises around national elections, including a 27-country OECD sample and US presidential election periods, though each covers only specific countries or election cycles. No retrieved item contradicts the claim.

Verdict: PARTIAL LEAN · 6 sources for, 0 against · Last checked

The private library was unavailable for some searches in this check. Missing library results are not evidence against the claim.

Evidence for · 6
Stock Market Volatility around National Elections
2006
Get citation
Bialkowski, J. P., Gottschalk, K., & Wisniewski, T. P. (2006). Stock Market Volatility around National Elections. doi.org. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.892143

See more details
More for · 5
Stock Market Volatility And Presidential Election Uncertainty: Evidence From Political Futures Markets
2017
Get citation
Stock Market Volatility And Presidential Election Uncertainty: Evidence From Political Futures Markets. (2017). doi.org. https://doi.org/10.19030/jabr.v34i1.10105

The Impact of General Elections on Stock Market Volatility in Indonesia (2004–2023)
2024
Get citation
The Impact of General Elections on Stock Market Volatility in Indonesia (2004–2023). (2024). doi.org. https://doi.org/10.31289/jppuma.v12i1.11126

Why does implied volatility decrease without a change in stock price?
Get citation
Why does implied volatility decrease without a change in stock price?. (n.d.). quant.stackexchange.com. https://quant.stackexchange.com/questions/57128

Government Partisanship, Elections, and the Stock Market: Examining American and British Stock Returns, 1930–2000
Get citation
Government Partisanship, Elections, and the Stock Market: Examining American and British Stock Returns, 1930–2000. (n.d.). cir.nii.ac.jp. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-5907.2005.00155.x

Stock market reactions to Donald Trump-involved U.S. presidential elections: Evidence from the S&P 500 in 2016, 2020, and 2024
2026
Get citation
Michał, W., Katarzyna, C., Arkadiusz, W., & Mariusz, P. (2026). Stock market reactions to Donald Trump-involved U.S. presidential elections: Evidence from the S&P 500 in 2016, 2020, and 2024. doi.org. https://doi.org/10.2478/ijme-2026-0004

Receipt History
held for human review17 Oct 2026
Anyone with this link can read the claim and its public receipt, including any personal information in that text. Open permanent receipt.
Check your own claim
Challenge the receipt
Requests are recorded for review. This does not start an automatic check or guarantee a response time.

Citation formatting by citeproc-js (Frank Bennett) and the Citation Style Language project. Source and licenses.

This receipt is an automated verdict against our published method · not an opinion about any author or publication.
Terms · Privacy · How verdicts work