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the claim
Guinea worm cases fell from about 3.5 million in 1986 to 28 in 2018.
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SUPPORTED
the evidence backs this
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8 sources for · 0 against
Is it true that Guinea worm cases fell from about 3.5 million in 1986 to 28 in 2018?
Yes. A CDC MMWR report states the number of Guinea worm cases fell from an estimated 3.5 million in 1986 to 28 in 2018, matching the claim exactly. Other sources confirm the 3.5 million 1986 baseline but cite different later-year figures (25,000 in 2006; 16,026 in 2004; 25 in 2016; 54 in 2019; 13 in 2022).
Verdict: SUPPORTED · 8 sources for, 0 against · Last checked
Evidence for · 8
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The end of the line for guinea worm - PMC Lock. (n.d.). pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmj.334.7608.1345-b
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More for · 7
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Progress Toward Global Eradication of Dracunculiasis — January 2018–June 2019 | MMWRMinusSASstats. (n.d.). cdc.gov. https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/68/wr/mm6843a5.htm
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MG, D., A, S., OA, E., E, T., SL, R., D, S., K, I., DR, H., & AJ, W. (2024). Slaying the Serpent: A Research Agenda to Expand Intervention Development and Accelerate Guinea Worm Eradication Efforts.. doi.org. https://doi.org/10.4269/ajtmh.23-0889
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Ruiz-Tiben, E. & Hopkins, D. R. (2006). Dracunculiasis (Guinea worm disease) eradication.. doi.org. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0065-308X(05)61007-X
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Rubenstein, B. L., Roy, S. L., Unterwegner, K., Yerian, S., Weiss, A., & Zirimwabagabo, H. (2021). Community-based Guinea worm surveillance in Chad: Evaluating a system at the intersection of human and animal disease. doi.org. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pntd.0009285
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Dracunculiasis Eradication: End-Stage Challenges. (n.d.). cir.nii.ac.jp. https://doi.org/10.4269/ajtmh.22-0197
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Tayeh, A., Cairncross, S., & Cox, F. E. G. (2017). Guinea worm: from Robert Leiper to eradication.. doi.org. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0031182017000683
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Hunter, P. (1997). Waterborne Disease. books.google.com. http://books.google.com/books?id=UB03WJlbOMkC&dq=Guinea+worm+cases+fell+from+about+3.5+million+in+1986+to+28+in+2018.&hl=&as_pt=BOOKS&source=gbs_api
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