Nonviolent protest campaigns have succeeded more often than violent campaigns.

the verdict

INSUFFICIENT LEANING

Recorded sources

6 sources for · 0 against

Counts group repeated records of the same source within each side. They do not measure evidence strength or source independence.

Is it true that Nonviolent protest campaigns have succeeded more often than violent campaigns?

Unclear. Several peer-reviewed items indicate nonviolent campaigns are more likely to succeed or achieve transitions than violent ones, but each covers only a narrower outcome, region, or mechanism rather than the general comparative success rate the claim asserts.

Verdict: PARTIAL LEAN · 6 sources for, 0 against · Last checked 2 Oct 2026

The private library was unavailable for some searches in this check. Missing library results are not evidence against the claim.

Evidence for · 6

Review of Chenoweth et al. (2019): Nonviolent and Violent Campaigns and Outcomes (NAVCO) data project

2025

Get citation

Rathkamp, N. (2025). Review of Chenoweth et al. (2019): Nonviolent and Violent Campaigns and Outcomes (NAVCO) data project. zenodo.org. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.15338089

See more details

More for · 5

Fresh carnations or all thorn, no rose? Nonviolent campaigns and transitions in autocracies

Get citation

Fresh carnations or all thorn, no rose? Nonviolent campaigns and transitions in autocracies. (n.d.). cir.nii.ac.jp. https://doi.org/10.1177/0022343312469979

Women’s Participation and The Fate Of Nonviolent Campaigns

2019

Get citation

Chenoweth, E. (2019). Women’s Participation and The Fate Of Nonviolent Campaigns. doi.org. https://doi.org/10.18289/oef.2019.041

2024

Get citation

Marks, Z. (2024). African Popular Protest and Political Change. doi.org. https://doi.org/10.1353/jod.2024.a930430

A dynamic model of nonviolent resistance strategy

2022

Get citation

Chenoweth, E., Hocking, A., & Marks, Z. (2022). A dynamic model of nonviolent resistance strategy. doi.org. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0269976

Students in the Streets: Education and Nonviolent Protest

Get citation

Students in the Streets: Education and Nonviolent Protest. (n.d.). cir.nii.ac.jp. https://doi.org/10.1177/0010414018758761

Receipt History

Anyone with this link can read the claim and its public receipt, including any personal information in that text. Open permanent receipt.

Check your own claim

Challenge the receipt

I have a source that contradicts this verdict I have a source that supports it No source: request a receipt review Requests are recorded for review. This does not start an automatic check or guarantee a response time.

Citation formatting by citeproc-js (Frank Bennett) and the Citation Style Language project. Source and licenses.

This receipt is an automated verdict against our published method · not an opinion about any author or publication.
Terms · Privacy · How verdicts work