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the claim

Large language models hallucinate because they are trained to predict plausible next words rather than to verify truth.

the verdict
CONTESTED PARTIAL
Recorded sources
1 source for · 3 against

Counts group repeated records of the same source within each side. They do not measure evidence strength or source independence.

Is it true that large language models hallucinate because they are trained to predict plausible next words rather than to verify truth?

Partly. One reference confirms LLMs are pretrained to predict the next word, but does not establish that this is why they hallucinate. Two items from the same paper argue hallucination instead stems from training and evaluation procedures rewarding guessing over acknowledging uncertainty, and another attributes it partly to supervised fine-tuning rewarding always responding.

Verdict: CONTESTED PARTIAL · 1 source for, 3 against · Last checked

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Evidence for · 1
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Large language model. (n.d.). en.wikipedia.org. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Large_language_model

Evidence against · 3
2025
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Why Language Models Hallucinate. (2025). doi.org. https://doi.org/10.48550/arxiv.2509.04664

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More against · 2
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Why Language Models Hallucinate. (n.d.). arxiv.org. https://arxiv.org/html/2509.04664v1

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HypoTermInstruct: Instructing Large Language Models not to Hallucinate. (n.d.). openreview.net. https://openreview.net/forum?id=pfmacmILs2

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