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the claim

Scientists can predict earthquakes in advance with accurate timing and location.

the verdict
INSUFFICIENT LEANING
Recorded sources
0 sources for · 6 against

Counts group repeated records of the same source within each side. They do not measure evidence strength or source independence.

Is it true that scientists can predict earthquakes in advance with accurate timing and location?

Unclear. Peer-reviewed sources indicate earthquake prediction remains unsuccessful: Japan's national program ran since 1965 without success, and machine-learning work is limited to laboratory-scale or partial forecasting. No retrieved source demonstrates accurate advance prediction of earthquake timing and location.

Verdict: PARTIAL LEAN · 0 sources for, 6 against · Last checked

The private library was unavailable for some searches in this check. Missing library results are not evidence against the claim.

Evidence against · 6
2004
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Sol, A. & Turan, H. (2004). The ethics of earthquake prediction.. doi.org. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11948-004-0045-1

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More against · 5
2013
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Uyeda, S. (2013). On earthquake prediction in Japan.. doi.org. https://doi.org/10.2183/pjab.89.391

2026
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Jain, E. (2026). Predquake: A Deep Learning Algorithm to Predict The Time and Location of Earthquakes. doi.org. https://doi.org/10.36227/techrxiv.177220566.63029668/v1

2025
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R, N., Y, K., & B, R. (2025). Machine learning predicts meter-scale laboratory earthquakes.. doi.org. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-64542-4

2025
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D, L., R, N., P, R., MW, M., A, P., N, N., & NB, E. (2025). Rapid wavefield forecasting for earthquake early warning via deep sequence to sequence learning.. doi.org. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-65435-2

2026
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N, B., O, Z., O, G., Y, M., & Y, B. (2026). Earthquake magnitudes depend on seismic history, as revealed by a neural network analysis.. doi.org. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-026-48563-7

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