Higher confidence can predict lower accuracy in certain cognitive tasks
the verdict
SUPPORTED
the evidence backs this
confidence 77/100
Multiple studies demonstrate dissociations between subjective certainty and objective performance, showing that individuals can exhibit overconfidence or miscalibrated confidence across various cognitive tasks.
Evidence for · 3
Peripheral overconfidence in a scene categorization task.
2025 · cited by 1
Demonstrates peripheral overconfidence in a scene categorization task where participants show misaligned confidence relative to actual perceptual capacities.
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More for · 2
Dissociating Accuracy and Metacognition in Nutritional Judgements
2026 · cited by 0
Shows a dissociation in nutritional judgments where participants reported significantly higher confidence for calorie judgments despite differing objective performance levels.
Metacognitive Monitoring in Reading Comprehension: Examining the Role of Cognitive Flexibility, Vocabulary, and Fluency in Young Readers.
2026 · cited by 0
Finds that reading fluency is associated with lower calibration accuracy and greater overconfident judgment tendencies in young readers.