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the claim

The ozone hole over Antarctica is shrinking.

the verdict
INSUFFICIENT LEANING
Recorded sources
4 sources for · 0 against

Counts group repeated records of the same source within each side. They do not measure evidence strength or source independence.

Is it true that the ozone hole over Antarctica is shrinking?

Unclear. Several sources indicate the Antarctic ozone layer is recovering and that ozone-depleting substances are declining, with one study reporting a trend reversal beginning in the early 2000s. None directly measures the hole's area shrinking over time; the NASA/NOAA recovery is a projection to the late 2060s.

Verdict: PARTIAL LEAN · 4 sources for, 0 against · Last checked

Evidence for · 4
Is there still a hole in the ozone layer?
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Is there still a hole in the ozone layer?. (n.d.). earthscience.stackexchange.com. https://earthscience.stackexchange.com/questions/22834

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More for · 3
Persistent extreme ultraviolet irradiance in Antarctica despite the ozone recovery onset
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Persistent extreme ultraviolet irradiance in Antarctica despite the ozone recovery onset. (n.d.). cir.nii.ac.jp. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-05449-8

NASA, NOAA Rank 2025 Ozone Hole as 5th Smallest Since 1992 - NASA Science
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NASA, NOAA Rank 2025 Ozone Hole as 5th Smallest Since 1992 - NASA Science. (n.d.). science.nasa.gov. https://science.nasa.gov/earth/nasa-noaa-rank-2025-ozone-hole-as-5th-smallest-since-1992/

Trend Pattern (1980–2025) of Total Ozone Column over Antarctica in Winter–Spring Season, Derived from Heatmap Analysis—A New Approach to Detecting Ozone Hole Recovery
2026
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Czerwińska, A. & Krzyścin, J. (2026). Trend Pattern (1980–2025) of Total Ozone Column over Antarctica in Winter–Spring Season, Derived from Heatmap Analysis—A New Approach to Detecting Ozone Hole Recovery. doi.org. https://doi.org/10.3390/rs18132174

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held for human review18 Oct 2026
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