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the claim
The illusion of control is the tendency for people to overestimate their ability to control events.
the verdict
SUPPORTED
the evidence backs this
Recorded sources
2 sources for · 0 against
Is it true that the illusion of control is the tendency for people to overestimate their ability to control events?
Yes. The retrieved literature supports the definition of the illusion of control as a cognitive tendency where individuals overestimate their capacity to influence chance events.
Verdict: SUPPORTED · 2 sources for, 0 against · Last checked
The analysis
The claim defines the psychological concept of the illusion of control. Papers 3 and 5 directly investigate or rely upon this well-established cognitive bias, showing that individuals tend to overestimate their personal control or predictive capacities over outcomes that are objectively random or uncontrollable.
Evidence for · 2
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Chodzyńska, K. & Polak, M. (2021). Information about objective probability of a lottery and the illusion of control. doi.org. https://doi.org/10.24425/ppb.2020.135461
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More for · 1
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CJ, S., E, S., & A, G. (2026). Beyond cognitive distortions: the mediating role of passion between erroneous cognitions and gambling severity.. doi.org. https://doi.org/10.1080/00049530.2026.2726226
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