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the claim

Solar and lunar eclipses can be predicted centuries in advance

the verdict

SUPPORTED

the evidence backs this

confidence 82/100

Solar and lunar eclipses follow strict orbital mechanics and periodicities like the Saros cycle, allowing astronomers to predict them with high precision far in advance.

Evidence for · 2

A theory and methodology to quantify knowledge.

2019 · cited by 10

Discusses the half-life of predictions of solar eclipses as a standard example of long-term astronomical forecasting.

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The Saros cycle: obtaining eclipse periodicity from Newton's laws

2009 · cited by 1

Demonstrates that eclipse periodicity (the Saros cycle) can be rigorously derived from physical laws with high precision.

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first checked01 Aug 2026

judged → SUPPORTED · 8201 Aug 2026

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