trustme.bro/r/…
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the claim
Self-rated performance predicts objective performance over and above other-rated performance
the verdict
REFUTED
the evidence says no
confidence 9/100

Evidence does not support the idea that self-rated performance predicts objective performance better than other-rated performance; in fact, literature frequently demonstrates that informant and peer ratings are more strongly correlated with objective outcomes due to self-assessment biases.

Evidence against · 3
Prospective prediction of academic performance in college using self- and informant-rated personality traits
2020 · cited by 24
This study found that informant ratings (specifically from peers) were often stronger predictors of academic performance than self-ratings.
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More against · 2
Anosognosia in HD: Comparison of Self-report and Caregiver Ratings with Objective Performance Measures
2022 · cited by 8
This study demonstrated that caregiver (informant) ratings of patient abilities correlated much more strongly with objective performance measures than patient self-ratings.
Dunning-Kruger Effect Between Self-Peer Ratings of Surgical Performance During a MASCAL Event and Pre-Event Assessed Trauma Procedural Capabilities
2022 · cited by 6
This study found that self-ratings of performance significantly underestimated actual performance compared to independent assessments and peer ratings.
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first checked01 Aug 2026
judged → REFUTED · 901 Aug 2026
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