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the claim

Recent global warming is caused by changes in the Sun.

the verdict
REFUTED
the evidence says no
Recorded sources
1 source for · 2 against

Counts group repeated records of the same source within each side. They do not measure evidence strength or source independence.

Is it true that recent global warming is caused by changes in the Sun?

No. Extensive scientific evidence and modern climate attribution studies demonstrate that recent global warming is driven primarily by anthropogenic greenhouse gases rather than changes in the Sun, whose solar forcings have in fact declined in recent decades while temperatures have continued to rise.

Verdict: REFUTED · 1 source for, 2 against · Last checked

Evidence for · 1
1991
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Reid, G. C. (1991). Solar total irradiance variations and the global sea surface temperature record. doi.org. https://doi.org/10.1029/90jd02274

Evidence against · 2
2008
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Lockwood, M. & Fröhlich, C. (2008). Recent oppositely directed trends in solar climate forcings and the global mean surface air temperature. II. Different reconstructions of the total solar irradiance variation and dependence on response time scale. doi.org. https://doi.org/10.1098/rspa.2007.0347

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More against · 1
2025
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Rabinovich, M. (2025). Attribution of Modern Climate Change: A Review of Anthropogenic and Natural Forcing Mechanisms. doi.org. https://doi.org/10.36227/techrxiv.176072166.67692151/v1

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