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the claim

Political uncertainty reduces business investment.

the verdict
INSUFFICIENT LEANING
Recorded sources
8 sources for · 0 against

Counts group repeated records of the same source within each side. They do not measure evidence strength or source independence.

Is it true that political uncertainty reduces business investment?

Unclear. Several peer-reviewed studies, mostly single-country or single-region, report that political or policy uncertainty is associated with lower business investment, business confidence, or higher cost of capital. None of the placed items establishes the general claim at full strength; each covers a narrower population, period, or proxy measure.

Verdict: PARTIAL LEAN · 8 sources for, 0 against · Last checked

Evidence for · 8
Effects of economic policy uncertainty and political uncertainty on business confidence and investment
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Effects of economic policy uncertainty and political uncertainty on business confidence and investment. (n.d.). cir.nii.ac.jp. https://doi.org/10.1108/jes-12-2020-0582

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More for · 7
Political uncertainty and corporate investment: Empirical evidence from China
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Political uncertainty and corporate investment: Empirical evidence from China. (n.d.). e3s-conferences.org. https://www.e3s-conferences.org/articles/e3sconf/pdf/2021/29/e3sconf_eem2021_03054.pdf

The impact of political uncertainty on the cost of capital
2024
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The impact of political uncertainty on the cost of capital. (2024). doi.org. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11156-023-01236-2

Corruption, institutional quality and foreign direct investment: a two-decade review of mechanisms, distance and corporate responses
2026
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Kusnadi, K., Djatmika, P., Noerdajasakti, S., & Istiqomah, M. (2026). Corruption, institutional quality and foreign direct investment: a two-decade review of mechanisms, distance and corporate responses. doi.org. https://doi.org/10.1080/23311886.2026.2728754

The effect of political turnover on corporate ESG performance: Evidence from China
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The effect of political turnover on corporate ESG performance: Evidence from China. (n.d.). doi.org. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0288789

Impact of uncertainty on economic growth: The role of pro‐market institutions in developing countries
2024
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Impact of uncertainty on economic growth: The role of pro‐market institutions in developing countries. (2024). hal.science. https://doi.org/10.1111/kykl.12408

Boosting Investment and Growth: The Role of Social Pacts in the Brazilian Automotive Industry
2007
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Boosting Investment and Growth: The Role of Social Pacts in the Brazilian Automotive Industry. (2007). doi.org. https://doi.org/10.1080/13600810601167629

Entrepreneurship under economic policy uncertainty: empirical insights from G7 countries
2026
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Liao, Y., Farooq, U., Alomair, A., & Aljughaiman, A. A. (2026). Entrepreneurship under economic policy uncertainty: empirical insights from G7 countries. doi.org. https://doi.org/10.3846/tede.2026.27787

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held for human review17 Oct 2026
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