Plausible scenarios exist for the US dollar to lose its status as the world reserve currency
the verdict
SUPPORTED
the evidence backs this
confidence 75/100
Plausible economic and geopolitical scenarios exist for the erosion of the US dollar's reserve currency status, driven by shifting global power dynamics and de-dollarization pressures.
Evidence for · 3
팬데믹과 전쟁 이후 국제경제질서 변화와 대응 (Changes in the International Economic Order in the Post-pandemic and War Era and Challenges for Korea)
2023 · cited by 0
Paper [4] discusses how changes in the international economic order and declining US hegemony create fundamental pressures that challenge traditional US dominance.
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More for · 2
Diminishing American Power: The US - China Trade War, Sanctions, and Coronavirus
2020 · cited by 0
Paper [8] highlights global pressures, trade conflicts, and rising alternatives that threaten the US dollar's exorbitant privilege.
Currency Network Dynamics & the Erosion of Dollar Hegemony: De-dollarization and the Future of Global Reserve Currencies
2026 · cited by 0
Paper [11] explicitly models the mechanisms of de-dollarization and identifies network-based pathways and tipping points through which the US dollar's reserve currency status could erode.