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the claim

Inflation increases during recessions.

the verdict
INSUFFICIENT LEANING
Recorded sources
0 sources for · 5 against

Counts group repeated records of the same source within each side. They do not measure evidence strength or source independence.

Is it true that inflation increases during recessions?

Unclear. Several peer-reviewed and institutional sources indicate inflation tends to fall or respond less during recessions, with the 2007-09 recession showing declining core inflation as unemployment rose. No retrieved source directly establishes that inflation increases during recessions.

Verdict: PARTIAL LEAN · 0 sources for, 5 against · Last checked

The private library was unavailable for some searches in this check. Missing library results are not evidence against the claim.

Evidence against · 5
The Tilt Effect Revisited. Inflation and Housing Recessions.
2022
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Barrull, X. & Dorse, A. (2022). The Tilt Effect Revisited. Inflation and Housing Recessions.. doi.org. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4109110

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More against · 4
Mind the Output Gap: The Disconnect of Growth and Inflation during Recessions and Convex Phillips Curves in the Euro Area
2017
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Mind the Output Gap: The Disconnect of Growth and Inflation during Recessions and Convex Phillips Curves in the Euro Area. (2017). doi.org. https://doi.org/10.1111/obes.12291

Mind the Output Gap: The Disconnect of Growth and Inflation During Recessions and Convex Phillips Curves in the Euro Area
2017
Get citation
Gross, M. & Semmler, W. (2017). Mind the Output Gap: The Disconnect of Growth and Inflation During Recessions and Convex Phillips Curves in the Euro Area. doi.org. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2910934

Recession: When Bad Times Prevail - Back to Basics: Finance & Development
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Recession: When Bad Times Prevail - Back to Basics: Finance & Development. (n.d.). imf.org. https://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/fandd/basics/recess.htm

Is unemployment helpful in understanding inflation?
2011
Get citation
Is unemployment helpful in understanding inflation?. (2011). kansascityfed.org. http://www.kansascityfed.org/publicat/econrev/pdf/11q4Doh.pdf

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