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the claim

Import tariffs increase consumer surplus in the importing country.

the verdict
REFUTED
the evidence says no
Recorded sources
0 sources for · 3 against

Counts group repeated records of the same source within each side. They do not measure evidence strength or source independence.

Is it true that Import tariffs increase consumer surplus in the importing country?

No. One peer-reviewed paper states directly that an import tariff causes consumer surplus to decline by more than tariff revenue rises, and a 2025 US study finds tariffs pass through into higher consumer prices; a malaria-nets review likewise reports tariffs raise prices and reduce affordability.

Verdict: REFUTED · 0 sources for, 3 against · Last checked

The private library was unavailable for some searches in this check. Missing library results are not evidence against the claim.

Evidence against · 3
2005
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Import tariffs, quality investment and welfare. (2005). hdl.handle.net. https://hdl.handle.net/10016/358

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More against · 2
2007
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Alilio, M., Mwenesi, H., Barat, L. M., Payes, R. M., Prysor-Jones, S., Diara, M., McGuire, D., & Shaw, W. (2007). Broken promise? Taxes and tariffs on insecticide treated mosquito nets.. pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov. https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/18165497/

2026
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The Anatomy of Tariff Pass-through into Consumer Prices. (2026). nber.org. https://doi.org/10.3386/w35561

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