Human choices made at random exhibit predictable systematic biases
the verdict
SUPPORTED
the evidence backs this
confidence 86/100
Extensive research in behavioral economics and psychology demonstrates that human decision-making is consistently influenced by predictable cognitive biases and heuristics rather than being purely random or entirely rational.
Evidence for · 9
Equalizing bias in eliciting attribute weights in multiattribute decision‐making: experimental research
2021 · cited by 54
This study demonstrates that decision-makers systematically exhibit equalizing bias when assigning attribute weights.
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More for · 8
Behavioral Bias Within The Decision Making Process
2011 · cited by 13
This paper reviews empirical evidence showing that cognitive errors and systematic behavioral biases consistently distort individual decision-making.
The Impact of Behavioral Bias on Investment Decision-Making
2023 · cited by 2
This review highlights how behavioral finance principles demonstrate systematic, non-rational patterns in financial choices driven by cognitive factors.
Judicial Decision-Making
2018 · cited by 1
This chapter details how predictable heuristics and biases such as anchoring and hindsight bias systematically impact judicial decision-making.
Behavioral Economics Interventions to Improve Medical Decision-Making.
2022 · cited by 0
This paper notes that behavioral biases and cognitive patterns contribute significantly to predictable gaps in medical decision-making.
Behavioral Economics Interventions in Clinical Decision Support Systems.
2018 · cited by 0
This review finds that clinicians consistently exhibit predictable cognitive biases and heuristics, such as framing and status-quo bias, during medical decisions.
Behavioral economics.
2009 · cited by 0
This overview explains that human irrationality and fuzzy thinking in estimation and probabilities are systematic and predictable rather than random.
Behavioral economics and diabetic eye exams.
2018 · cited by 0
This study outlines how default and present biases systematically undermine preventive health adherence, such as regular eye examinations.
Cognitive Bias and Therapy Choice in Breast Reconstruction Surgery Decision-Making.
2022 · cited by 0
This empirical study finds uniform and prevalent cognitive biases affecting medical and surgical choice across patients and professionals alike.