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the claim

Higher inflation increases stock market prices.

the verdict
CONTESTED PARTIAL
Recorded sources
1 source for · 5 against

Counts group repeated records of the same source within each side. They do not measure evidence strength or source independence.

Is it true that higher inflation increases stock market prices?

Partly. Most placed studies find higher inflation associated with lower stock prices or returns, including a 1983 study reporting a negative relation between stock returns and both expected and unexpected inflation and a 2025 Indian market study finding higher inflation dragged down the index. One 2025 Sub-Saharan Africa study reports a statistically significant positive association between inflation and stock prices, so the evidence is mixed and only partial.

Verdict: CONTESTED PARTIAL · 1 source for, 5 against · Last checked

The private library was unavailable for some searches in this check. Missing library results are not evidence against the claim.

Evidence for · 1
Impact of Macroeconomic Variables on Stock Market Prices in Sub-Saharan Africa
2025
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Abdull-Baseet, A., Seif, M., & Komba, G. (2025). Impact of Macroeconomic Variables on Stock Market Prices in Sub-Saharan Africa. doi.org. https://doi.org/10.47941/ijhmnp.2466

Evidence against · 5
Inflation and the Stock Market
1978
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Feldstein, M. (1978). Inflation and the Stock Market. nber.org. https://www.nber.org/papers/w0276

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More against · 4
Impact of Macroeconomic Indicators, Global Financial Events, and Monetary Policies on the Volatility and Performance of BSE Sensex: An Empirical Study of the Indian Stock Market
2026
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Kumar, D. P., Chauhan, D. S. S., Goel, S., Garg, D. R., & Chaudhary, D. S. (2026). Impact of Macroeconomic Indicators, Global Financial Events, and Monetary Policies on the Volatility and Performance of BSE Sensex: An Empirical Study of the Indian Stock Market. doi.org. https://doi.org/10.66635/ca6gqx83

The Fiscal and Monetary Linkage between Stock Returns and Inflation
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The Fiscal and Monetary Linkage between Stock Returns and Inflation. (n.d.). cir.nii.ac.jp. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1983.tb03623.x

Inflation and stock return volatility in selected African countries: A GARCH-MIDAS approach
2023
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Inflation and stock return volatility in selected African countries: A GARCH-MIDAS approach. (2023). doi.org. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.sciaf.2024.e02307

Government Partisanship, Elections, and the Stock Market: Examining American and British Stock Returns, 1930–2000
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Government Partisanship, Elections, and the Stock Market: Examining American and British Stock Returns, 1930–2000. (n.d.). cir.nii.ac.jp. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-5907.2005.00155.x

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