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the claim

AIG's credit default swap losses were a major cause of the 2008 financial crisis.

the verdict
INSUFFICIENT LEANING
Recorded sources
5 sources for · 0 against

Counts group repeated records of the same source within each side. They do not measure evidence strength or source independence.

Is it true that AIG's credit default swap losses were a major cause of the 2008 financial crisis?

Unclear. Several sources indicate AIG's credit default swap losses were a major contributing factor to AIG's collapse and played a pivotal role in the 2008 financial crisis, but none directly establishes that AIG's CDS losses were a major cause of the crisis itself.

Verdict: PARTIAL LEAN · 5 sources for, 0 against · Last checked

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Evidence for · 5
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Credit default swap. (n.d.). en.wikipedia.org. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Credit_default_swap

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More for · 4
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AIG Financial Products - Wikipedia. (n.d.). en.wikipedia.org. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/AIG_Financial_Products

2025
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Not Fannie and Freddie: Wall Street's Trillion-Dollar Fraud Machine Inside the Machines of Mortgage Madness, Derivatives, and the CDS Time Bomb. (2025). doi.org. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.5690883

2014
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Maeno, Y., Nishiguchi, K., Morinaga, S., & Matsushima, H. (2014). Impact of credit default swaps on financial contagion. arxiv.org. https://doi.org/10.1109/CIFEr.2014.6924067

2015
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AIG Case Study Applied to the Efficient Capital Market Hypothesis and the Legal Theory of Finance. (2015). ssrn.com. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2545073

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