The probability of cancer development increases exponentially with advancing age.
the verdict
SUPPORTED
the evidence backs this
confidence 88/100
Epidemiological data and classical multistep carcinogenesis models demonstrate that the incidence of many types of cancer increases rapidly with advancing age.
Evidence for · 2
Incidence of cutaneous malignant melanoma in Denmark 1978-1982. Anatomic site distribution, histologic types, and comparison with non-melanoma skin cancer.
1988 · cited by 119
Paper 0 notes that non-melanoma skin cancers exhibit an exponential increase in incidence with advancing age.
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More for · 1
The multistep pathogenic hypothesis of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis is incompatible with the epidemiological data.
2026 · cited by 0
Paper 8 explicitly references cancer research and the classical Armitage-Doll multistep model, noting that cancer age-incidence curves are well-aligned with power laws (or exponential-like accelerations) driven by the accumulation of age-related hits.