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the claim
The expected time for a neutral allele to reach frequency p1 from p0 can be calculated mathematically
the verdict
SUPPORTED
the evidence backs this
confidence 82/100

Mathematical models in population genetics, such as diffusion approximations and coalescent theory, allow researchers to calculate the expected time for a neutral allele to reach a given frequency.

Evidence for · 4
Population Growth Enhances the Mean Fixation Time of Neutral Mutations and the Persistence of Neutral Variation
2012 · cited by 14
Paper [1] discusses analytical expressions using diffusion approximation for the mean and variance of fixation times for neutral mutations.
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More for · 3
THE TIME REQUIRED FOR ALLELE FREQUENCY CHANGE
2017 · cited by 0
Paper [7] examines expected times for allele frequency change under selection models using mathematical frameworks.
Revisiting the time until fixation of a neutral mutant in a finite population - A coalescent theory approach.
2015 · cited by 0
Paper [9] derives analytic formulations of genetic drift and fixation time scales of neutral mutations using diffusion approximations and coalescent theory.
Allelic Entropy and Times until Loss or Fixation of Neutral Polymorphisms.
2023 · cited by 0
Paper [11] uses the diffusion approximation of the neutral Wright-Fisher model to relate the expected time until fixation of a neutral allele to population entropy.
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first checked01 Aug 2026
judged → SUPPORTED · 8201 Aug 2026
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