The diameter of the Earth decreases due to soil subsidence from irrigation and rainfall.
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The retrieved evidence confirms that local land subsidence frequently occurs due to groundwater pumping, irrigation, and hydrological changes, but does not establish that these regional effects decrease the overall diameter of the Earth.
If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ . Abstract Many studies show the sensitivity of our environment to manmade changes, especially the anthropogenic impact on atmospheric and hydrological processes. The effect on Solid Earth processes such as subsidence is less straightforward.
Subsidence is usually slow and relates to the interplay of complex hydro-mechanical processes, thus making relations to atmospheric changes difficult to observe. In the Dead Sea (DS) region, however, climatic forcing is strong and over-use of fresh water is massive. An observation period of 3 years was thus sufficient to link the high evaporation (97 cm/year) and the subsequent drop of the Dead Sea lake level (− 110 cm/year), with high subsidence rates of the Earth’s surface (− 15 cm/year).
Applying innovative Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) techniques, we are able to resolve this subsidence of the “Solid Earth” even on a monthly basis and show that it behaves synchronous to atmospheric and hydrological changes with a time lag of two months. We show that the amplitude and fluctuation period of ground deformation is related to poro-elastic hydro-mechanical soil response to lake level changes. This provides, to our knowledge, a first direct link between shore subsidence, lake-level drop and evaporation.
These inflows, which additionally tend to decrease due to climate change 21 – 23 cannot compensate for the high evaporation. The rapid decline of the DS level leads to both short and medium term climatic changes and natural hazards 5 , 24 , 25 that pose a major challenge to local communities 26 . Changes in precipitation and evaporation cause major flooding events, desertification and land degradation 4 , 26 , 27 . The retreat of the salt-water to fresh-water transition zone at the DS shore 28 results in an increasing groundwater gradient 7 , 29 .
Given the typical size distribution of sinkholes in clayey marl/alluvial sediments 36 , 40 , ground subsidence due to sinkholes would not be observed in the footprint area (Fresnel zones) of the GNSS antenna for our study sites (see Supplementary Information ). Also, uvala formation in either cover material is usually accompanied by large-scale crack formation 7 , something not observed for the area close to the GNSS stations. Soil mechanics considerations The formation of subsidence generally depends also on the rock/soil mechanical properties, as highlighted in various numerical modelling studies from Refs. 39 , 64 – 67 .
A drop in pore pressure due to the decline of the lake level and, thus, in the fine-grained sediments along the shoreline, causes the sediments to consolidate 33 . The main subsurface material in the area is clayey marl and dewatering is a complex process involving kinetic, thermodynamic and electrochemical aspects 68 .
We present analytical calculations of ground subsidence and water level fluctuation propagation by applying simple analytical 1D-soil compaction theory based on Refs. 71 , 72 . This assumes, for simplicity, a 20 m thick unconfined, isotropic, homogeneous and fully saturated Dead Sea brine layer of marl overlying a thick Holocene salt layer. For a water-level decrease of 1.1 m (corresponding to the mean annual Dead Sea water level decline, see Fig. 4 b), the results show a 1D solid consolidation of 10.2–17.0 cm with a primary consolidation time of 1.2–3.6 years. The observed values at the station Beach are within this range.
Due to long travel and residence times in the aquifer from the recharge areas to the DS, the seasonality of rainfall and recharge is fully dampened out in the inflow to the DS area 31 . Thus, an impact of regional groundwater flow on the seasonality of lake level and subsidence observed in this study can most likely be ruled out. West of the Western Boundary Fault (WBF), see Fig. 1 , no vertical displacement is detectable (see Supplement Information and Supplementary Figs. S_4 and S_5 ).
Summary The study presented here shows that the use of geophysical observation methods like GNSS reflectometry in combination with traditional techniques enables us to detect the close linkage of land subsidence with changes in lake level and climate factors such as evaporation. We demonstrate, to our knowledge, for the first time the direct link of atmospheric phenomena to Solid Earth processes using the common factor water and resolve the interplay of the spheres on a seasonal, respectively monthly basis.
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# Land Subsidence
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## Sea-Level Rise, Subsidence, and Wetland Loss
### Changes to the Mississippi River Delta
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## The Science of Sinkholes
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## Sinking Earth
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More than 80 percent of known land subsidence in the U.S. is a consequence of groundwater use, and is an often overlooked environmental consequence of our land and water-use practices. Increasing land development threatens to exacerbate existing land-subsidence problems and initiate new ones. Subsidence detection and mapping done by the USGS is needed to understand and manage our current and future land and water resources in areas where subsidence is a problem or may be in the future.
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Approximate point of maximum subsidence in the San Joaquin Valley, California. The land surface subsided roughly 9 meters from 1925 to 1977 due to aquifer-system groundwater withdrawals. Signs on the telephone
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Issue date 2021 May 18.
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Earth’s surface is ever changing. Sinkholes swallow neighborhoods, river deltas slowly slide beneath the waves, and fertile fields lose elevation as farmers draw large amounts of water for irrigation from underlying aquifers. Whether gradual and subtle, or sudden and dramatic, these phenomena are known as subsidence—the lowering of the ground’s surface owing to the subterranean movement of material.
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As farmers pump out water to irrigate crops, ground water levels drop and massive sinkholes can form, such as this one in Dover, FL, that formed after a freeze event in January of 2010. Image credit: USGS/Ann Tihansky. Many instances of subsidence stem from natural processes. For instance, the same flows of groundwater that dissolve limestone to form caves far below ground can also operate at shallower depths, sculpting caverns that grow until their roofs can no longer support overlying strata. When those roofs collapse, a sinkhole can form.
But now, researchers are finding that subsidence more often results from human activity. According to the US Geological Survey, in the United States, more than 80 percent of the known subsidence—which together covers an area that’s nearly 17,000 square miles and spread across 45 states—stems from groundwater use. Worldwide, almost one-fifth of the planet’s population lives in areas where subsidence driven by groundwater withdrawals is a major threat, a new analysis finds.
Humans cause subsidence in other ways, too. The sheer weight of large cities can depress Earth’s crust several centimeters—a substantial threat for coastal cities now that sea level is on the rise. Most types of anthropogenic subsidence are not reversible, meaning that prevention is the best remedy. Fortunately, satellites offer a convenient way to monitor wide swaths of landscape, a
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