Taiwan has experienced volcanic activity during recorded history
the verdict
REFUTED
the evidence says no
refutedsupported
the weight of evidence
2 sources for · 0 against
Peer-reviewed studies indicate that Taiwan has not experienced any volcanic activity in recorded history, with the latest eruption occurring thousands of years ago.
Abstract The Tatun Volcanic Group (TVG) is an active volcano that could cause volcanic hazards in northern Taiwan. The latest phreatic eruption of the TVG occurred some 6000 years ago. Understanding the state of groundwater around the TVG can be a crucial step towards effectively assessing the risk of phreatic explosion by providing information about the sources of groundwater and the media it flows. We measured gravity changes at a superconducting gravity station and several groundwater-sensitive sites to examine the way the groundwater altered the gravity values around the TVG. Groundwater-induced gravity changes are simulated by two hydrological models (A and B). Both models show coherent seasonal variations in groundwater level and gravity value in the center of the TVG (Chintiengang). This coherence indicates inter-connected porous media for free groundwater flows below Chintiengang. However, inconsistencies between the modeled and observed gravity changes occurred in the eastern part of the TVG, suggesting here highly heterogeneous formations with fractures and barriers may exist below Chihsinshan and Dayoukeng. The gravity consistencies and inconsistencies between the observations and the models are used to delineate a volcanic aquifer, which can provide additional information for assessing the probability of a potential phreatic eruption over the TVG.
Taiwan is subjected to several natural hazards such as extreme weather, seismic activity or tsunamis excited by earthquakes occurring along the Pacific Ocean subduction zones. Fortunately, Taiwan has not experienced any volcanic activity in historical times, a fact which reinforced the belief that its volcanic centers are by now extinct. During the past decade, volcanological, seismological and geochemical observations have shown that such a belief is erroneous and that two of Taiwan’s volcanic centers (Tatun Volcano Group and Kueishantao island) have potential for future eruptive activity. Additionally, there is historical evidence for four submarine eruptions offshore the northern and eastern coast of Taiwan over the last 150 years. The types of volcanic hazards that may affect Taiwan’s infrastructure and population are ashfall, pyroclastic flows, lava flows, landslides/volcanic debris avalanches, lahars, phreatic explosions and tsunami. Two of Taiwan’s nuclear power plants (and a third whose construction has been temporarily suspended) are close to the volcanic centers and could be affected by ashfall and lava flows, an issue that needs to be addressed by the operator of the plants. Even though the probability of future volcanic activity is low, it has to be recognized that the vulnerability to volcanic hazards for an advanced technological society such as Taiwan’s has increased considerably. Volcanic risk therefore cannot be considered insignificant, and its mitigation ha
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