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the claim
Statistical proportion of negative elements matters more than absolute quantity in risk perception
the verdict
SUPPORTED
the evidence backs this
refutedsupported
the weight of evidence
3 sources for · 0 against

Evidence from behavioral and decision-making research indicates that the proportional representation of negative elements heavily influences risk perception, often overriding absolute quantity due to psychological biases such as denominator neglect and ratio bias.

Evidence for · 3
From group diffusion to ratio bias: Effects of denominator and numerator salience on intuitive risk and likelihood judgments
2009 · cited by 8
Demonstrates that risk and likelihood judgments are heavily influenced by the ratio structure, showing how numerator and denominator salience (such as proportions versus absolute numbers) shift perceived risk.
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The analysis

Papers [2], [4], and [8] directly investigate how proportional information, ratios, frequencies, and framing formats impact risk perception and decision-making, supporting the claim that proportional relationships matter significantly in how humans evaluate risk. No papers refute this premise.

More for · 2
Frequency or total number? A comparison of different presentation formats on risk perception during COVID-19
2022 · cited by 3
Compares total-cases formats, frequencies, and proportions, finding that different presentation formats significantly alter people's perceived risk of COVID-19.
Systematic variation in proportion judgments: Spatial features impact adults' strategies and decisions.
2026 · cited by 1
Shows that adults' proportional reasoning and risk-related decisions are systematically affected by how proportional information is framed and whether subcomponents are discrete or spatially separated.
The paper trail · every fact has a biography
first checked05 Aug 2026
judged → SUPPORTED · 8105 Aug 2026
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