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the claim

Statistical models allow astronomers to estimate the total percentage of discovered near-Earth objects

the verdict
SUPPORTED
the evidence backs this
Recorded sources
5 sources for · 0 against

Counts group repeated records of the same source within each side. They do not measure evidence strength or source independence.

Statistical models and survey simulations allow astronomers to estimate the completeness and total percentage of discovered near-Earth objects.

The analysis

Multiple papers use detailed simulations, observational models, and debiasing techniques to estimate the percentage completeness of the near-Earth object and potentially hazardous asteroid populations discovered by various telescope surveys. No papers refute the premise.

Evidence for · 5
The Large Synoptic Survey Telescope as a Near-Earth Object discovery machine
Recorded source metadata

R. Jones, Colin T. Slater, Joachim Moeyens, L. Allen, T. Axelrod, K. Cook, Ž. Ivezić, Mario Juri'c, Jonathan Myers, Catherine E. Petry. The Large Synoptic Survey Telescope as a Near-Earth Object discovery machine. 2017. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.icarus.2017.11.033

Simulations quantify LSST discovery capability to estimate completeness percentages for the near-Earth object population.

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More for · 4
High-fidelity Simulations of the Near-Earth Object Search Performance of the Large Synoptic Survey Telescope
Recorded source metadata

P. Veres, S. Chesley. High-fidelity Simulations of the Near-Earth Object Search Performance of the Large Synoptic Survey Telescope. 2017. https://doi.org/10.3847/1538-3881/aa73d1

Models assess survey performance and derive overall near-Earth object population completeness fractions.

MODELING THE PERFORMANCE OF THE LSST IN SURVEYING THE NEAR-EARTH OBJECT POPULATION
Recorded source metadata

T. Grav, A. Mainzer, T. Spahr. MODELING THE PERFORMANCE OF THE LSST IN SURVEYING THE NEAR-EARTH OBJECT POPULATION. 2016. https://doi.org/10.3847/0004-6256/151/6/172

Detailed survey simulations estimate the completeness percentages of potentially hazardous asteroids discovered by surveys.

The debiased Near-Earth object population from ATLAS telescopes
Recorded source metadata

R. Deienno, L. Denneau, D. Nesvorn'y, David Vokrouhlický, W. Bottke, R. Jedicke, S. Naidu, Steve Chesley, D. Farnocchia, P. Chodas. The debiased Near-Earth object population from ATLAS telescopes. 2024. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.icarus.2024.116316

Observational data and models are used to debias and estimate the population completeness of near-Earth objects.

The NEO Surveyor Near-Earth Asteroid Known Object Model
Recorded source metadata

T. Grav, A. Mainzer, J. Masiero, D. Dahlen, T. Spahr, W. Bottke, F. Masci. The NEO Surveyor Near-Earth Asteroid Known Object Model. 2023. https://doi.org/10.3847/PSJ/ad072e

Reference models and current survey data are used to determine near-Earth asteroid survey completeness and discovery rates.

The paper trail · every fact has a biography
first checked01 Aug 2026
judged → SUPPORTED · 8701 Aug 2026
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