Solar and lunar eclipses can be predicted centuries in advance

the verdict

SUPPORTED

the evidence backs this

Recorded sources

2 sources for · 0 against

Counts group repeated records of the same source within each side. They do not measure evidence strength or source independence.

Solar and lunar eclipses follow strict orbital mechanics and periodicities like the Saros cycle, allowing astronomers to predict them with high precision far in advance.

The analysis

The claim that solar and lunar eclipses can be predicted centuries in advance is a well-established astronomical fact supported by celestial mechanics and cyclic phenomena like the Saros cycle. Paper [8] demonstrates how eclipse periodicity is derived from physical laws, while Paper [0] references the predictability and half-life of solar eclipse predictions. Therefore, the evidence strongly supports the claim.

Evidence for · 2

A theory and methodology to quantify knowledge.

Recorded source metadata

Fanelli D. A theory and methodology to quantify knowledge.. 2019. https://doi.org/10.1098/rsos.181055

Discusses the half-life of predictions of solar eclipses as a standard example of long-term astronomical forecasting.

Source citation format

See more details

More for · 1

The Saros cycle: obtaining eclipse periodicity from Newton's laws

Recorded source metadata

Fabio A.C.C. Chalub. The Saros cycle: obtaining eclipse periodicity from Newton's laws. 2009. https://doi.org/10.1590/s1806-11172009000100003

Demonstrates that eclipse periodicity (the Saros cycle) can be rigorously derived from physical laws with high precision.

Source citation format

The paper trail · every fact has a biography

first checked01 Aug 2026

judged → SUPPORTED · 8201 Aug 2026

More receipts

Is it true that Phonological evolution involves regular processes of phoneme elision, vowel nasalization, and tonogenesis?Is it true that Hemangiomas are treatable with medication?Is it true that Research identifies forms of intelligence that diverge from standard IQ measures?

Random receipt →The Trust Wiki →

Anyone with this link can read the claim and its public receipt, including any personal information in that text. Open permanent receipt.

Check your own claim

Challenge the receipt

I have a source that contradicts this verdict I have a source that supports it No source: request a receipt review Requests are recorded for review. This does not start an automatic check or guarantee a response time.

trust me, bro: win the argument, pass the class, survive peer review.

Citation formatting by citeproc-js (Frank Bennett) and the Citation Style Language project. Source and licenses.

This receipt is an automated verdict against our published method · not an opinion about any author or publication.
Terms · Privacy · How verdicts work · Dispute this receipt