trustme.bro/r/…
✓ checked
trust me, bro:
here is the receipt.
the claim
Restricting money creation exclusively to the central bank stabilizes the economy.
the verdict
CONTESTED PARTIAL
refutedsupported
the weight of evidence
2 sources for · 2 against

The retrieved economic literature offers conflicting perspectives, with some studies and references suggesting potential stability benefits or exclusive central bank mandates, while others argue that sovereign money reforms and central bank control over deposits do not necessarily avoid financial crises or ensure stability.

Evidence for · 2
2019 · cited by 3
Abstract Financial crises appear throughout human history. In particular, the financial crisis of 2008 highlighted the role of uncontrolled creation of money through lending as a source of financial instability. The creation of money is also problematic due to the implicit non-local transfers of wealth (Cantillon effect) and a leak of the economic memory of past transactions. Motivated by an analogy to particle physics, time-homogeneity can be imposed on monetary systems to approach and even possibly solve the associated problems. This implies a full reserve banking with a two-currency system which discriminates with an exchange rate between non-bank assets (money) and bank assets (antimoney). The associated liabilities are in the hands of banks and non-banks, respectively. Payments are either made by passing on money or receiving antimoney at respective price levels. Liquidity is provided by the simultaneous transfer of money and antimoney at a negotiated exchange rate between money and antimoney, also termed the liquidity price. In this system, interest rates and credit creation are replaced by a varying price for liquidity. We started to study the economic stability of such a system with an agent-based random economy model, in which households and firms are urged by random boundary conditions to apply stochastic exchanges of goods via a limit order book mechanism, implementing the trading scheme of stock markets. We compared the market simulations under the prevailing monetary system with the money–antimoney system and found that a symmetric price equilibrium was obtained by imposing a limit on the agents’ antimoney holdings. This is the equivalent of controlling lending in a money system. For both money and antimoney, quantity theory is satisfied. Production and credit shocks showed a quantitative and qualitative similar behavior for the different monetary systems, indicating the overall functionality of the proposed money–antimoney system.
Evidence against · 2
2018 · cited by 0
The sovereign money initiative will be submitted to the Swiss people in 2018. This paper reviews the arguments behind the initiative and discusses its potential impact. I argue that several arguments are inconsistent with empirical evidence or with economic logic. In particular, controlling sight deposits neither stabilizes credit nor avoids financial crises. Also, assuming that deposits at the central bank are not a liability has implications for fiscal and monetary policy, and Benes and Kumhof (The Chicago Plan Revisited, 2012) do not provide support for the reform as they do not analyze the proposed Swiss monetary reform and their closed-economy model does not fit the Swiss economy. Then, using a simple model with monopolistically competitive banks, the paper assesses quantitatively the impact of removing sight deposits from commercial banks' balance sheets. Even though there is a gain for the state, the overall impact is negative, especially because depositors would face a negative return. Moreover, the initiative goes much beyond what would be the equivalent of full reserve requirement and would impose severe constraints on monetary policy; it would weaken financial stability rather than reinforce it; and it would threaten the trust in the Swiss monetary system. Finally, there is high uncertainty both on the details of the reform and on its impact. I argue that several arguments are inconsistent with empirical evidence or with economic logic. In particular, controlling sight deposits neither stabilizes credit nor avoids financial crises. Also, assuming that deposits at the central bank are not a liability has implications for fiscal and monetary policy, and Benes and Kumhof (The Chicago Plan Revisited, 2012 ) do not provide support for the reform as they do not analyze the proposed Swiss monetary reform and their closed-economy model does not fit the Swiss economy. 6 At this stage, it is interesting to notice that the original sovereign money proposal by HR preceded the global financial crisis, so that avoiding crises was not its main motivation. Even though some of the arguments are not fully explicit, there are several hidden assumptions that run counter to our current knowledge in macroeconomics. In particular, a major argument behind the sovereign money proposal is that controlling money allows the stabilization of credit. 7 This in turn will help stabilize the business cycle. If this is left to commercial banks, HR write: “They expand credit creation in upswings, and reduce it in downswings. Finally, the “ The arguments behind the initiative ” section discusses why bank credit is unlikely to be the source of money creation at the macroeconomic level and relates this view to the “mystique of money.” Independently of its motivation, the next question is to assess the potential impact of the reform for the Swiss economy. This is done in the “ The impact of sovereign money in Switzerland: stage 1 ” and “ The impact of sovereign money in Switzerland: stage 2 ” sections. The reform is planned to be implemented in two stages. In the first stage, sight deposits, that are part of M1, disappear from bank liabilities and are deposited at the central bank. The “ The impact of sovereign money in Switzerland: stage 1 ” section examines quantitatively the impact of the reform’s first stage on the state, on banks, and on depositors, using a simple model of monopolistic competition in the banking sector. In the current situation of the Swiss economy, the aggregate impact of the first stage would be negligible because of very low, even negative, interest rates and of a massive level of banks’ reserves at the central bank: in 2017, the proportion of banks’ reserves to deposits in M1 is larger than 90%. To have an assessment in a period of positive interest rates, I consider data for the 1993–2006 period. 10 One can distinguish between two perspectives. On the one hand, banks can create deposits when granting loans. This is well explained in textbooks when explaining the money multiplier (even if the money multiplier examples are unrealistic). On the other hand, banks serve as intermediaries between deposits and loans. As explained for example by Tobin ( 1963 ), these two perspectives are totally consistent. In equilibrium, the amount of deposits created by banks has to be equal to the amount desired by depositors. And the central bank can influence this equilibrium. Currently, banks hold deposits at the central bank because they trust the central bank and because they know that they can withdraw their funds immediately. With sovereign money, deposits at the central bank are not determined by commercial banks and may be less fickle. But reductions in deposits may still occur and may be caused by a decline in trust in the system. If the central bank gets rid of its assets, it will clearly lose credibility and trust in the system may indeed decline. Putting the emphasis on a frontloaded distribution of central bank profits may help in “selling” the initiative to the voters but is not key to a monetary reform. Moreover, it would clearly put political pressure on the SNB. Implications for monetary policy Monetary policy would clearly be hampered by the sovereign money initiative. In the ideal world of a smoothly growing economy, the SNB could gradually increase its money supply through transfers (with all the problems this entails). But in the real world, the economy is bumpy and the SNB needs to react quickly to the changing economic environment. This appears unrealistic and extremely difficult to implement politically. An alternative could be to issue central bank bills to reduce money supply. But how safe would central bank debt be perceived if its assets do not match existing liabilities? Investors may require a high risk premium to hold these bills, which would make monetary policy very costly. Moreover, once there is central bank debt, could it be reduced to increase again money supply?
See more details
The analysis

rails:sufficiency:partial_only:for=0+2p:against=0+2p | v55:contested_partial:lean=lean_partial:even:no_signal

More for · 1
cited by 0
July 2024 the Russian Central Bank raised the key interest rate to 18%. Russia's ranking as Europe's largest economy in terms of PPP and the world's fourth Russia has a developing market-oriented mixed economy considered high-income and highly industrialized. It has the ninth-largest economy in the world by nominal GDP and the fourth-largest economy by GDP (PPP). Due to a volatile currency exchange rate, its GDP measured in nominal terms fluctuates sharply. Russia was the last major economy to join the World Trade Organization (WTO), becoming a membe Russia repaid its borrowing of $3.3 billion from the IMF three years early in 2005. Inflation remained a problem however, as the central bank aggressively expanded money supply to combat appreciation of the ruble. Nevertheless, in 2007 the World Bank declared that the Russian economy achieved "unprecedented macroeconomic stability". Until October 2007, Russia maintained impressive fiscal discipline with budget surpluses every year from 2000. On 25 December 1993, the Constitution of the Russian Federation came into force, where the main provisions were prescribed in the Article 75. The currency in the Russian Federation is the ruble. Monetary emission is carried out exclusively by the Central Bank of the Russian Federation (the Bank of Russia). The introduction and emission of other money in the Russian Federation is not allowed. The protection and ensuring the stability of the ruble is the main function of the Central Bank of the Russian Federation, which it carries out independently of other government bodies. On 1 September 2013, the Bank of Russia also became a regulator of financial markets, applying the integrated model of financial sector supervision. The Central Bank of the Russian Federation follows inflation targeting policy. Higher inflation than in developed countries has remained throughout the last 25–30 post-Soviet years and the devaluation of the currency (in relation to foreign currencies and in relat Disposable incomes more than doubled and in dollar-denominated terms increased eightfold. The volume of consumer credit between 2000 and 2006 increased 45 times, fuelling a boom in private consumption. The number of people living below poverty line declined from 30% in 2000 to 14% in 2008. === Commodities boom, reserves, rise of consumer-driven economy and state corporations (2004–2008) === Russia repaid its borrowing of $3.3 billion from the IMF three years early in 2005. Inflation remained a problem however, as the central bank aggressively expanded money supply to combat appreciation of the ruble. Nevertheless, in 2007 the World Bank declared that the Russian economy achieved "unprecedented macroeconomic stability". Until October 2007, Russia maintained impressive fiscal discipline with budget surpluses every year from 2000. === Modernization, regional and global integration and high-income economy (2009–2014) === Russian banks were affected by the 2008 financial crisis, though no long term damage was done due to a proactive and timely response by the government and central bank. A sharp, but brief recession in Russia was followed by a strong recovery beginning in late 2009. Based on the results, the World Bank announced that in 2021 Russia was the 4th largest economy in the world ($5.7 trillion and 3.8 percent of the world) and the largest economy in Europe and Central Asia when measured in PPP terms. === Breaking ties with the West, developing regional pan-Eurasian cooperation, tech sovereignty and self-sufficiency efforts (2022–present) === In 2022, heavy sanctions were enacted due to the Russian invasion of Ukraine which will likely result in a steep recession. Since early 2022, many official economic statistics have not been published. However, 60% of Russia's imports come from the countries that have announced sanctions against Russia. TASS reported poor results for the Russian economy the first quarter of 2023 with revenue of 5.7 trillion roubles – down 21% (mainly due to falling oil revenue), expenditure 8.1 trillion roubles – up 34% (mainly due to increased military costs), creating a deficit 2.4 trillion roubles – ($29.4 billion) Following Central Bank of Russia interventions, the exchange rate of the rouble against the dollar remained relatively stable in 2022, although in 2023 it started to decrease significantly, reaching RUB 97 per US$1 on 15 August 2023. Both the interventions and the exchange rate decrease resulted in significant criticism of the Central Bank by Russian state propaganda. Quarter 2 of 2023 saw a 13% fall in the value of the rouble against the dollar and a current account surplus estimated in to be falling by 80% from In August and September 2023, the Central Bank of Russia started raising the key lending rate, ending up at 13% in September, while USD to RUB exchange rate remained at RUB 95. As of June 2023 share of Russia's exports to EU dropped to 1.7% while Russia's imports from EU dropped to 1.5%. In October 2023 the "psychological barrier" of RUB 100 per US$1 was crossed. In July 2024 the Russian Central Bank raised the key interest rate to 18%. Russia's ranking as Europe's largest economy in terms of PPP and the world's fourth largest economy was first released in May 2024. In July 2024, the World Bank again reclassified Russia as a high-income economy based on 2023 results. Monetary emission is carried out exclusively by the Central Bank of the Russian Federation (the Bank of Russia). The introduction and emission of other money in the Russian Federation is not allowed. The protection and ensuring the stability of the ruble is the main function of the Central Bank of the Russian Federation, which it carries out independently of other government bodies. On 1 September 2013, the Bank of Russia also became a regulator of financial markets, applying the integrated model of financial sector supervision. The Central Bank of the Russian Federation follows inflation targeting policy.
More against · 1
2023 · cited by 0
The primary objective of this essay is to present an analysis of the effects of the implementation of the government policy described in the title, in which government expenditures are funded by money newly created by the central bank. The analysis is firmly grounded on modern economic theory and models, backed up by statistics from authentic sources, and based on historical events replicating a similar situation; it draws economic concepts from the Keynesian school of thought, is supported by government data, and references the period of hyperinflation in Weimar Germany in 1921. The essay emphasizes the less obvious existence of short term advantages while breaking down the more obvious long term disadvantages as a consequence of the implementation of the aforementioned government policy. Clear definitions of ambiguous terms and vocabulary are provided.
Everything we examined (4)
This check searched the claim as stated. It did not run a separate search for evidence against it.
  1. Stability of a time-homogeneous system of money and antimoney in an agent-based random economypeer-reviewedno side taken
  2. Economy of Russiareferenceno side taken
  3. The sovereign money initiative in Switzerland: an economic assessment.peer-reviewedno side taken
  4. Theoretical Effects of Government Funding Through Central Bank Money Creationpeer-reviewedno side taken
The paper trail · every fact has a biography
held for human review09 Aug 2026
This receipt carries no identity, shared or not. Sharing publishes your connection to it, not your data.
Check your own claim
Challenge the receipt
trust me, bro: win the argument, pass the class, survive peer review.
This receipt is an automated verdict against our published method · not an opinion about any author or publication.
Terms · Privacy · How verdicts work · Dispute this receipt