Pumping water into aquifers can reverse the sinking of cities like Jakarta
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INSUFFICIENT LEANING
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The evidence indicates that managed aquifer recharge can help prevent land subsidence and promote land rebound in general settings, but it does not fully establish the specific reversal of sinking cities like Jakarta through this method.
Groundwater depletion is a critical global challenge, particularly in intensively cultivated drylands, with few documented cases of successful recovery. Here, we report a striking reversal of long-term groundwater decline in the North China Plain, one of the world's most severely depleted aquifers. Based on a comprehensive analysis of groundwater levels from over 2000 monitoring wells spanning the past two decades, we show that groundwater levels have risen at an average rate of ~0.7 m year<sup>-</sup><sup>1</sup> since 2020, surpassing 2005 levels by 2024. This recovery is driven by a combination of large-scale surface water diversion from the humid south and stringent groundwater pumping regulations, further amplified by wet years (e.g., 2021). From 2005 to 2023, these policies reduced annual groundwater abstraction by ~12 km<sup>3</sup> and increased environmental water allocations to over 7 km<sup>3</sup> since 2021, promoting aquifer recharge and restoring environmental flows. Our findings demonstrate that rapid, large-scale groundwater recovery is achievable through integrated water management and targeted policy interventions across extensive regions (~130,000 km<sup>2</sup>).
This recovery is driven by a combination of large-scale surface water diversion from the humid south and stringent groundwater pumping regulations, further amplified by wet years (e.g., 2021). From 2005 to 2023, these policies reduced annual groundwater abstraction by ~12 km 3 and increased environmental water allocations to over 7 km 3 since 2021, promoting aquifer recharge and restoring environmental flows. Our findings demonstrate that rapid, large-scale groundwater recovery is achievable through integrated water management and targeted policy interventions across extensive regions (~130,000 km 2 ).
Continued declines in groundwater levels will have wide-ranging impacts, including land subsidence 6 , 7 , the desiccation of rivers and wetlands 8 , 9 , seawater intrusion 10 , intense economic pressure on rural communities 11 , and threats to the viability of global food supplies 1 . To mitigate groundwater depletion, various strategies have been implemented worldwide, such as reduced groundwater abstraction 12 , 13 , substitution of groundwater pumping with surface water from reservoirs 14 , managed aquifer recharge (MAR) 12 , 15 , 16 , and inter-basin water diversions 17 – 19 .
As a result, groundwater levels in the NCP declined at a rate of 1–2 m year − 1 by the end of the 20th century 3 , 24 , leading to an estimated cumulative depletion of ~60 km 3 from the 1960s to 2008 25 . In response to the acute water shortage in North China, the South-to-North Water Diversion (SNWD) project was initiated in 2002, diverting water from the humid Yangtze River basin. The high-quality diverted water has primarily been used to replace groundwater pumping for municipal and industrial purposes 17 , 26 . Additionally, excess diverted water has been used to replenish rivers and lakes and increase aquifer storage through MAR.
By 2023, pumping from confined aquifers decreased to <1 km 3 , accounting for only 3% of the total water supply. This greater reduction in confined aquifer use is largely attributed to its greater substitution by water from the SNWD project. Historically, confined aquifers, valued for their high water quality, have been a primary source for municipal use, particularly because unconfined aquifers are more vulnerable to contamination. With the introduction of water from the SNWD project, groundwater from confined aquifers that had been used for municipal supplies has increasingly been replaced, thereby reducing groundwater pumping.
Reclaimed water, along with water diverted from the Yellow and Yangtze rivers and surface water from reservoirs 32 , plays a crucial role in supporting these environmental flows 17 . Water diversion and aquifer restoration policies drive groundwater recovery The observed groundwater recovery in the NCP is primarily attributable to sustained human intervention, with wet years (e.g., 2021) providing additional but temporary reinforcement (Fig. 5 ). A pivotal measure was the substitution of groundwater pumping with water from SNWD-C.
MAR and reduced irrigation-related pumping are critical strategies for restoring depleted aquifers (Fig. 6a–c ). For years, rivers in the NCP had dried up due to upstream reservoir interception and declining groundwater levels. Experimental river replenishment began in 2018 in the Fuyang, Hutuo, and Juma rivers. Since then, over 10 km 3 of water from the SNWD project has been allocated to restore rivers across the NCP by 2024. Additional contributions came from Yellow River diversions and local reservoirs, benefiting rivers (e.g., the Yongding River) and lakes (e.g., the Baiyangdian Lake).
Projects such as the SNWD, Central Arizona Project 12 , California’s water-delivery system (Central Valley Project and State Water Project) 48 , and the water diversion from the Sea of Galilee in Israel 49 have substituted for local aquifer pumping, contributing to groundwater storage recovery. Additionally, water diversions in eastern South Africa and the Toshka District of Egypt 50 , though not primarily intended for aquifer restoration, have also helped reduce pumping in these rapidly developing areas vulnerable to groundwater depletion 43 . However, even with these water diversion projects, challenges remain.
Measures similar to those implemented in the NCP, such as diverting water from the Colorado River, enforcing pumping regulations, limiting irrigation water use, and increasing the use of reclaimed water, have been applied in Arizona’s active management areas (AMAs), leading to successful groundwater storage recovery 12 , 53 , 54 . The reversal of groundwater level declines in Israel’s coastal plain aquifer during the late 1960s also benefited from water diversion, wastewater reclamation, and reduction of pumping 49 .
The rising water crisis requires effective and innovative techniques to safeguard the dwindling groundwater resources. Managed Aquifer Recharge (MAR) is a groundwater management approach to minimize groundwater depletion and ensure water security across a range of climatic regions. It is implemented globally to maximize aquifer storage, reduce saltwater intrusion, prevent land subsidence, reduce flooding hazards, and enhance agricultural production, while ensuring better water quality and quantity. This review followed the PRISMA 2020 guidelines to systematically select relevant publications from scientific databases between 1980 and 2023. Systematic review and bibliometric synthesis indicate that river water (surface water runoff to streams and rivers), stormwater, and reclaimed wastewater were the main water sources for MAR. Tracers, water balance, and numerical modeling methods were commonly used approaches for evaluating MAR systems. Global studies on MAR reveal a significant relationship with the aridity index, indicating that highly arid areas experience negligible recharge due to the limited availability of excess water for recharge. These regions are prone to groundwater depletion but hold potential for MAR using sources such as treated wastewater, stormwater, and desalinated water. MAR projects have been established worldwide for agricultural and domestic needs at different regional scales. MAR not only increases groundwater storage but also has global benefits, including water security, environmental enhancement, economic benefits, technological advancement, climate change mitigation, and community engagement. The challenges of MAR include financial, technical, and hydrogeological issues, social acceptance, ecological concerns, and climate change. Our systematic analysis highlights the advantages of MAR in addressing the pressing issue of water scarcity for agriculture and domestic use. This underscores the importance of an integrated, well-informed, and region-specific strategy and policies to fully harness MAR's capabilities in guiding the world toward a sustainable future.
malls in the world , currently ranked 12th for number of skyscrapers . “Jakarta is the go-to city for all things,” says Hendricus Andy Simarmata, a lecturer at the Urban Planning Department at the University of Indonesia. “It’s the center of administration, the center of the economy, culture, and entertainment. Over the years Jakarta has grown uncontrollably into a megacity with no environmental support system.” Ultimately that’s why it is sinking today. ( See how villagers in Java live with their sinking coast. ) Fishermen carry fish in crates in the port of Muara Angke, in North Jakarta, one of the most rapidly subsiding and frequently flooded parts of the city. Fishers here worry that the government's planned coastal protection measures will limit their access to the open sea, the source of their livelihood. The Waladuna Mosque in Muara Baru in North Jakarta has been affected by coastal floods since 2000 and is now no longer used. Jakarta needs water In 2007, after the catastrophic flood, the provincial government adopted a regulation requiring at least 30 percent of the city’s total area to be allocated to green, open space. More green space is not just a matter of general well-being. It’s also needed to absorb floods driven by torrential rains—and to funnel them into recharging the city’s depleted groundwater aquifers. Less than 10 percent of the city is green today. Massive groundwater extraction is one of the main drivers of land subsidence in Jakarta, a sprawling concrete labyrinth that’s not supported by a reliable water supply network. Jakarta’s piped-water system serves fewer than one million households, a little over a quarter of the city’s total . The rest rely primarily on pumping groundwater. While such pumping is not illegal, it is subject to taxation. But the provincial government is unable to monitor and tax the untold numbers of unregulated deep wells scattered across the city, mostly hidden behind closed doors. Batubara, who has spent years re
In 2002, the government built the coastal wall, to give the residents peace of mind and time—a respite from the steady sinking of the land under the city and the steady rising of the sea. But just five years later, in 2007, the wall proved no match for the worst floods in Jakarta’s modern history. Driven by a storm coming off the Java Sea and torrential rains, the floods claimed 80 lives around the city and caused hundreds of millions of dollars of damage . In Muara Baru, the storm surge collapsed the wall, and the sea flooded Suhemi’s house. “The water reached more than one meter,” she recalls. “My father almost died after being swept by the current.
Residents of Pesanggrahan in West Jakarta wait out the 2020 flood on their second floor. The flood caused an estimated $70 million in damages. But as the government leaves the sinking capital , what is to become of the 10 million people like Suhemi who still live there? The coastal wall is being extended, and there are grand plans for a giant artificial island in Jakarta Bay—but the funding for these schemes remains uncertain. And the fundamental cause of the sinking—the lack of an adequate public water supply, which has led to massive over-extraction of groundwater—remains mostly unaddressed. The 2007 flood destroyed Suhemi’s home and small restaurant, her family’s sole means of support.
“We’ve made drainage so that the water will not inundate the road, but still it’s always wet.” A problem with deep roots At Cilincing, a fishing village in North Jakarta, the Rawa Malang River flows into Jakarta Bay; the city center lies on the horizon, about 10 miles to the southwest. This area floods constantly during the rainy season, but the government is building a wall along the coast to hold back storm tides.
The Waladuna Mosque in Muara Baru in North Jakarta has been affected by coastal floods since 2000 and is now no longer used. Jakarta needs water In 2007, after the catastrophic flood, the provincial government adopted a regulation requiring at least 30 percent of the city’s total area to be allocated to green, open space. More green space is not just a matter of general well-being. It’s also needed to absorb floods driven by torrential rains—and to funnel them into recharging the city’s depleted groundwater aquifers. Less than 10 percent of the city is green today.
Massive groundwater extraction is one of the main drivers of land subsidence in Jakarta, a sprawling concrete labyrinth that’s not supported by a reliable water supply network. Jakarta’s piped-water system serves fewer than one million households, a little over a quarter of the city’s total . The rest rely primarily on pumping groundwater. While such pumping is not illegal, it is subject to taxation. But the provincial government is unable to monitor and tax the untold numbers of unregulated deep wells scattered across the city, mostly hidden behind closed doors.
In coastal areas like North Jakarta, where there is no piped water readily available today, residents drill wells as deep as 150 meters, or around 500 feet. “If you drill less than 50 meters, all you get is saline water,” says Arti Astati, the community leader in the neighborhood of Muara Angke. One deep well can serve 50 households. The alternative is to buy water in 40-liter jerrycans, which are sold from pushcarts by distributors who pump it from wells elsewhere in Jakarta. A typical family of four making less than $7 per day could easily spend a fifth of that on water, Astati says.
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