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the claim
Post-hoc hypothesizing invalidates traditional statistical testing.
the verdict
SUPPORTED
the evidence backs this
refutedsupported
the weight of evidence
3 sources for · 0 against

Post-hoc hypothesizing (HARKing) presents data-driven results as a priori predictions, which fundamentally compromises the validity of traditional statistical testing and contributes to the replication crisis.

Evidence for · 3
1998 · cited by 1,427
Kerr (1998) defines HARKing as presenting post-hoc hypotheses as a priori, explaining why this practice undermines traditional statistical testing.
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The analysis

The retrieved literature (such as Kerr 1998 and Rastogi et al. 2021) consistently identifies HARKing (Hypothesizing After the Results are Known) as a detrimental practice that invalidates traditional statistical testing by masking exploratory findings as confirmatory hypotheses, leading to inflated type I error rates and non-reproducible results. No papers refute this claim.

More for · 2
2021 · cited by 95
Rastogi et al. (2021) categorize HARKing as a questionable research practice that distorts statistical analysis and reporting.
2021 · cited by 8
Bujang et al. (2021) demonstrate how post-hoc data-analytic practices like univariable pretesting lead to model overfitting and non-replicable findings.
The paper trail · every fact has a biography
first checked04 Aug 2026
judged → SUPPORTED · 9504 Aug 2026
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