No-arbitrage models and equilibrium models are equivalent
the verdict
CONTESTED
contested - evenly split
refutedsupported
the weight of evidence
3 sources for · 4 against
Financial literature shows links where arbitrage-free pricing can align with equilibria, but practical and reference treatments distinguish no-arbitrage models from equilibrium models as separate approaches.
The theory of asset pricing, which takes its roots in the Arrow-Debreu model, the Black and Scholes formula, has been famalized in a framework by Harrison and Kreps (1979), harrison and Pliska (1979) and Kreps (1981). In these models, securities markets are assumed to be frictionless. The main result is that a price process is arbitrage free (or, equivalently, compatible with some equilibrium) if and only if it is, when appropriately renormalized, a martingale for some equivalent probability measure. The theory of pricing by arbitrage flows from there. Contingent claims can be priced by taking their expected value with respect to an equivalent martingale measure. If this value is unique, the claim is said to be priced by arbitrage. The new probabilities can be interpreted as state prices or as the intertemporal marginal ratyes of substitution of an agent maximizing his expected utility. In this work, we will propose a general model that takes frictions into account.
features of no-arbitrage models, and is a natural extension to two factors of the no- arbitrage approach … theorem 153 7 The conditions of no-arbitrage 157 7.1 First no-arbitrage condition: the Vasicek approach … between equilibrium models, such as CIR or LS (Chapters 11 and 14, respectively), and no-arbitrage models
The paper studies basic topics in asset pricing theory with fixed transaction costs. The assumption that there is no free lunch is equivalent to the existence of a family of absolutely continuous probability measures for which securities price processes are martingales. In case of frictionless models we had just one equivalent martingale measure instead of the above family. Another result proved states that the only arbitrage-free pricing rules on the set of contingent claims are those which are the sum of an expected value and of a bounded fixed cost functional. What is more, these pricing rules are the only ones to be viable as models of economic equilibrium.
This chapter is concerned with the existence of consistent price systems on the space of contingent claims within the framework of a partial equilibrium model. A two-date economy with uncertainty is considered in Section 3.1, and the decision problem of an agent concerning his present consumption and state contingent future consumption by means of a trading strategy in securities is stated. Section 3.2 introduces the basic “no-arbitrage” assumption and gives necessary and sufficient conditions for the existence of a price system on the space of contingent claims that is consistent with the price process of the given securities. A consistent price system can be described by means of an equivalent martingale measure. This section closely follows the reasoning of HARRISON/ KREPS (1979). Section 3.3 gives models that possess at least one equivalent martingale measure.
Approach and the No-Arbitrage Approach to Modelling? Short Answer Equilibrium models balance supply and … out- put by a no-arbitrage model is supposedly correct in a relative sense. For no-arbitrage pricing to … & White are a cross between the equilibrium models and no-arbitrage models. Superficially they look very
income- and interest rate derivatives. (The Vasicek and CIR models are equilibrium-based, while Ho–Lee and subsequent models are based on arbitrage-free
Financial economics is the branch of economics characterized by a "concentration on monetary activities", in which "money of one type or another is likely to appear on both sides of a trade".
Its concern is thus the interrelation of financial variables, such as share prices, interest rates and exchange rates, as opposed to those concerning the real economy.
It has two main areas of focus: asset
The concepts of arbitrage-free, "rational",…
T…
Bond valuation, in that cashflows (coupons and return of principal, or "Face value") are deterministic, may proceed in the same fashion. An immediate extension, Arbitrage-free bond pricing, discounts each cashflow at the market derived rate – i.e. at each coupon's corresponding zero rate, and of equivalent credit worthiness – as opposed to an overall rate.
In many treatments bond valuation precedes equity valuation, under which cashflows (dividends) are not "known" per se. Williams and onward allow for forecasting as to these – based on historic ratios or published dividend policy – and cashflows are then treated as essentially deterministic; see below under § Corporate finance theory.
For both stocks and bonds, "under certainty, with the focus on cash flows from securities over time," valuation based on a term structure of interest rates is in fact consistent with arbitrage-free pricing.
Indeed, a corollary of the above is that "the law of one price implies the existence of a discount factor".
Corresponding to these:
∑
s
π
s
=
1
/
r
{\textstyle \sum _{s}\pi _{s}=1/r}
; and equivalently, for the above "numeraire bond",
B
0
=
∑
s
π
s
{\textstyle B_{0}=\sum _{s}\pi _{s}}
. In practice, the latter is interchangeable with the risk-free yield curve: this ensures consistency between the theoretical no-arbitrage framework and applied valuation, providing a common benchmark for discounting future cash flows.
Whereas these "certainty" results are all commonly employed under corporate finance, uncertainty is the focus of "asset pricing models" as follows. Fisher's formulation of the theory here - developing an intertemporal equilibrium model - underpins also the below applications to uncertainty;
The theory and practice of risk measurement provides a point of intersection between risk management, economic theories of choice under risk, financial economics, and actuarial pricing theory. This article provides a review of these interrelationships, from the perspective of an insurance company seeking to price the risks that it underwrites. We examine three distinct approaches to insurance risk pricing, all being contingent on the concept of risk measures. Risk measures can be interpreted as representations of risk orderings, as well as absolute (monetary) quantifiers of risk. The first approach can be called an "axiomatic" one, whereby the price for risks is calculated according to a functional determined by a set of desirable properties. The price of a risk is directly interpreted as a risk measure and may be induced by an economic theory of price under risk. The second approach consists in contextualizing the considerations of the risk bearer by embedding them in the market where risks are traded. Prices are calculated by equilibrium arguments, where each economic agent's optimization problem follows from the minimization of a risk measure. Finally, in the third approach, weaknesses of the equilibrium approach are addressed by invoking alternative valuation techniques, the leading paradigm among which is arbitrage pricing. Such models move the focus from individual decision takers to abstract market price systems and are thus more parsimonious in the amount of information that they require. In this context, risk measures, instead of characterizing individual agents, are used for determining the set of price systems that would be viable in a market.
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